科罗拉多州2050:力争上游!

Yosef Bonaparte
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摘要

我们对科罗拉多州进行了360度评估,分析其优势和劣势,并提出建议,以帮助政策制定者促进经济增长和发展。在美国所有州中,科罗拉多州的综合排名是前10名,在经济矩阵中排名第一。然而,科罗拉多州在其他关键指标上落后,比如机遇号;财政稳定;犯罪与矫正与自然环境。这些弱点伤害了少数民族和弱势群体,因此我们创建了一个新的指数,名为“少数民族“我无法呼吸”指数”,该指数衡量了该州对少数民族的友好程度,并发现科罗拉多州在前12名中高于平均水平。科罗拉多州的种族教育(收入)差距在全国排名倒数第三(倒数11位)。该研究包括跨部门和城市的横断面分析。从2010年到2019年,我们发现建筑业是增长最快的行业(6.2%),而制造业增长最慢(1.8%);科林堡是收入最快的城市(3.4%),其次是丹佛(3.2%)、博尔德(2.7%)和科罗拉多斯普林斯(2.5%)。根据科罗拉多州的社会经济状况,我们的主要建议是进一步投资教育,以满足少数民族的快速增长(拉丁裔社区的比例预计将在2050年达到35%);我们的原则是,人力资本是增长的良药。此外,我们建议进行大规模的基础设施投资(是目前投资的四倍)和零企业所得税(回想一下,税收是我们的主要竞争对手)。如果这些建议得到实施,我们预计科罗拉多州很有可能在2050年达到榜首。
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Colorado 2050: The Race to the Top!
We perform 360 review on the state of Colorado to analyze the strengths and weaknesses, and provides recommendations to aid policy makers to enhance the economic growth and development. Across all U.S. states, the overall ranking of Colorado is top 10 and in the economy matrix is top one. Yet, Colorado is lagging in other key matrices, such as Opportunity; Fiscal Stability; Crime & Corrections and Natural Environment. These weaknesses hurt minorities and disadvantage groups, thus we created a new index named as “Minorities ‘I can’t breathe’ index”, that measures how friendly is the state toward minorities and find Colorado to be above average at top 12. Colorado is bottom three (bottom 11) in the nation in education (income) gap by race. The study includes cross-sectional analyses across sectors and cities. Between 2010 and 2019, we find that the construction sector is the fastest growing sector (6.2%), while manufacturing is the slowest (1.8%); Fort Collin is the fastest earnings (3.4%), followed by Denver (3.2%), then Boulder (2.7%) and Colorado Springs (2.5%). Based on the socioeconomic of Colorado, our key recommendations to reach the top are to further investing in education to meet the rapid growth of minorities (the fraction of the Latino communities expected to reach 35% in 2050); our principal is that human capital is the medical to growth. In addition, we recommend a massive infrastructure investment (quadruple the current investment) and zero corporate income tax (recall, Taxes is our main competitor). Should these recommendations implemented, we project with high probabilities that Colorado will reach the top by 2050.
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