基于横截面协整向量的面板var过程的LCCA和ml协整检验的蒙特卡罗比较

Piotr Kębłowski
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引用次数: 0

摘要

当长期横截面相关性发生时,考虑了不受限制面板VAR过程的自举协整秩检验的小样本性质。结果表明,基于水平典型相关分析的面板VAR模型的自举协整秩检验规模过大,而基于最大似然框架的自举协整秩检验规模过小。此外,就性能而言,前者的测试通常优于后者。研究结果表明,基于ml的自举协整秩检验在小样本情况下对具有少量横截面的小型面板VAR模型具有良好的效果。
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Monte Carlo comparison of LCCA- and ML-based cointegration tests for panel var process with cross-sectional cointegrating vectors
Small-sample properties of bootstrap cointegration rank tests for unrestricted panel VAR process are considered when long-run cross-sectional dependencies occur. It is shown that the bootstrap cointegration rank tests for the panel VAR model based on levels canonical correlation analysis are oversized, whereas the bootstrap cointegration rank tests based on maximum likelihood framework are undersized. Moreover, the former tests are in general outperformed by the latter in terms of performance. The results of the investigation indicate that the ML-based bootstrap cointegration rank tests perform well in small samples for small-sized panel VAR models with a few cross-sections.
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