避免疟疾- COVID-19合并感染的最佳控制措施

Nita H. Shah, Nisha Sheoran, E. Jayswal
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摘要

随着2019冠状病毒病(COVID-19)的持续流行给人类生命造成重大损失,如何防治疟疾- COVID-19合并感染已成为疟疾流行国家面临的重大挑战。本文建立了由一组非线性常微分方程控制的疟疾- COVID-19共感染模型。研究了仅疟疾和仅COVID-19两个子模型。建立了各子模型和共感染模型的无病平衡点的局部稳定性。证明了各子模型的地方性均衡的存在性。此外,我们通过纳入六次依赖控制扩展了我们的共感染模型。利用庞特里亚金极大值原理计算了必要的最优条件,并观察了各控制对共感染群体的影响。
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Optimum controls to avert co-infection of Malaria - COVID-19
Abstract With a major loss to human life due to the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, it has become a major challenge for malaria endemic countries to fight against malaria - COVID-19 coinfection. This paper formulates malaria - COVID-19 co-infection model governed by a set of non-linear ordinary differential equations. The two sub-models namely- malaria only and COVID-19 only are also studied. The local stability of the disease-free equilibrium point of each sub-model and co-infection model is established. Existence of endemic equilibria for each sub-model is carried out. Moreover, we extend our co-infection model by incorporating six-time dependent controls. Using Pontryagins maximum principle we compute necessary optimal conditions and also observe the effect of each control on co-infected population.
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