社论-气候变化对发展中经济体水资源的影响分析:成功与挑战

A. Adeloye, C. Ojha
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引用次数: 0

摘要

马拉维湖是库曼巴拉和欧文工作的主题。该湖是马拉维最具战略意义的湖泊,具有多种用途,包括水力发电,为布兰太尔市及其周边城市地区的工业和家庭供水,以及下郡谷(LSV)的灌溉用水。因此,该湖的水文或生态行为的任何变化都将对马拉维的经济产生深远的影响。因此,毫无疑问,湖泊在过去已经被深入研究,但当前作者的主要贡献是将气候变化模型纳入现有的水平衡模型,以便对湖泊可能的未来行为进行客观和更全面的评估。结果表明,由于降水减少和蒸发增加,湖泊水位将继续下降。这种情况要求迫切需要为水电和灌溉发展开发可行的替代方案,因为目前对湖水的过度依赖可能无法在未来持续下去。
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Editorial- Analysis of Climate Change Impacts on Water Resources For Developing Economies: Successes and Challenges
Lake Malawi was the subject of the work by Kumanbala and Ervine. The lake is the most strategic in Malawi by serving various purposes including hydropower generation, water supply for industrial and domestic use in the city of Blantyre and its surrounding urban areas, together with irrigation water in the Lower Shire Valley (LSV). Consequently, any changes in the hydrological or ecological behaviour of the lake will have far reaching consequences for the economy of Malawi. It is therefore no wonder that the lake has been intensively studied in the past but the main contribution of the current authors was to incorporate climate change modelling into the existing water balance model, so as to enable objective and more comprehensive assessment of the likely future behaviour of the lake. The results showed that water level in the lake will continue to drop because of decreasing rainfall and increasing evaporation. This situation calls for an urgent need to develop viable alternatives for both hydropower and irrigation development, since the current over-reliance on the lake’s water may not be sustainable for the future.
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