{"title":"一种评估增材制造战略选择的博弈论方法","authors":"Mudassar Ahmed, K. Chan, D. McFarlane","doi":"10.1109/POMS.2018.8629456","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"This paper studies the impact of demand uncertainty and competition on a firms technology selection decision between Additive Manufacturing (AM) and conventional tool-based Dedicated Manufacturing (DM). The paper uses the game-theoretic approach presented in [57], and extends the model from 2 to n players making three sequential decisions under demand uncertainty: (i) choice of technology, (ii) capacity investment, and (iii) production quantities. We find that the conventional wisdom of choosing between flexible manufacturing technology and dedicated tool-based technology holds in the case of AM given there is no demand uncertainty. However, once we take the demand uncertainty into account, a game-theoretical analysis is essential to examine the profitability of switching manufacturing technologies to AM. The research will contribute towards a future empirical study and will help develop an industrially accessible decision support tool for the adoption of AM in a production environment.","PeriodicalId":119869,"journal":{"name":"2018 International Conference on Production and Operations Management Society (POMS)","volume":"66 5 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2018-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"2","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"A Game Theoretic Approach to assessing Additive Manufacturing as a Strategic Choice\",\"authors\":\"Mudassar Ahmed, K. Chan, D. McFarlane\",\"doi\":\"10.1109/POMS.2018.8629456\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"This paper studies the impact of demand uncertainty and competition on a firms technology selection decision between Additive Manufacturing (AM) and conventional tool-based Dedicated Manufacturing (DM). The paper uses the game-theoretic approach presented in [57], and extends the model from 2 to n players making three sequential decisions under demand uncertainty: (i) choice of technology, (ii) capacity investment, and (iii) production quantities. We find that the conventional wisdom of choosing between flexible manufacturing technology and dedicated tool-based technology holds in the case of AM given there is no demand uncertainty. However, once we take the demand uncertainty into account, a game-theoretical analysis is essential to examine the profitability of switching manufacturing technologies to AM. The research will contribute towards a future empirical study and will help develop an industrially accessible decision support tool for the adoption of AM in a production environment.\",\"PeriodicalId\":119869,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"2018 International Conference on Production and Operations Management Society (POMS)\",\"volume\":\"66 5 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2018-12-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"2\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"2018 International Conference on Production and Operations Management Society (POMS)\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1109/POMS.2018.8629456\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"2018 International Conference on Production and Operations Management Society (POMS)","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1109/POMS.2018.8629456","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
A Game Theoretic Approach to assessing Additive Manufacturing as a Strategic Choice
This paper studies the impact of demand uncertainty and competition on a firms technology selection decision between Additive Manufacturing (AM) and conventional tool-based Dedicated Manufacturing (DM). The paper uses the game-theoretic approach presented in [57], and extends the model from 2 to n players making three sequential decisions under demand uncertainty: (i) choice of technology, (ii) capacity investment, and (iii) production quantities. We find that the conventional wisdom of choosing between flexible manufacturing technology and dedicated tool-based technology holds in the case of AM given there is no demand uncertainty. However, once we take the demand uncertainty into account, a game-theoretical analysis is essential to examine the profitability of switching manufacturing technologies to AM. The research will contribute towards a future empirical study and will help develop an industrially accessible decision support tool for the adoption of AM in a production environment.