股票论坛发帖数与股票交易量关系的实证研究

Bo Wang, Wei Chen, Yan Zhu
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引用次数: 1

摘要

股票论坛以其速度快、影响广、信息量大、群体针对性强等特点,正在成为一种重要的公共论坛。股票论坛的繁荣对股票市场产生了积极的影响。本文将股票论坛发帖量作为信息流动的代表。通过对样本数据的实证分析,我们发现帖子数量与股票交易量呈正相关。在控制了个股的基本面(如公司规模)后,这种关系仍然存在,并且在机构持股比例较低时,这种正相关关系显著增强。正相关的发现有助于降低投资者的流动性风险,并为股票讨论板的监管提供警示。
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An empirical study of the relationship between the stock discussion board's posting numbers and stock trading volume
The stock discussion board is becoming an important public forum because of its fast speed, wide influence, large amount of information and high group pertinence. The bloom in the stock discussion board exerts a positive influence on the stock market. This paper sets the amount of posting on stock discussion board as a proxy of information flows. And after the empirical analysis of sample data, we find that the number of postings is positively related to stock trading volume. This relation remains after the control of the fundamentals of individual stock, such as firm sizes, and the positive relation is significantly stronger among lower proportion of institutional shareholdings. The finding of positive correlation contributes to reducing the investors' liquidity risk and providing caution for the regulation of the stock discussion board.
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