1933年春天啤酒合法化带来的就业增长估计

IF 2.6 1区 历史学 Q1 ECONOMICS Explorations in Economic History Pub Date : 2022-04-01 DOI:10.1016/j.eeh.2021.101427
Eline Poelmans , Jason E. Taylor , Samuel Raisanen , Andrew C. Holt
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引用次数: 3

摘要

1933年4月,禁酒令结束前8个月,美国各州获得了3.2%酒精啤酒合法化的权利。支持大麻合法化的人预测,啤酒行业的发展将带来就业机会。我们估计,在1933年4月至6月期间,合法化带来了大约81,000个就业机会,其中60,000个是在4月份创造的,当时美国正从大萧条的低谷中走出来。这表明,春季全国非农就业增长中约有5.6%,四月份就业增长中约有15%与啤酒合法化有关。因此,这项早期的新政政策在帮助国家走出困境走向复苏方面发挥了重要的支持作用。
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Estimates of employment gains attributable to beer legalization in spring 1933

In April 1933, eight months prior to the end of Prohibition, states within the US gained the ability to legalize 3.2 percent alcohol beer. Proponents of legalization predicted that the brewer's dray would bring jobs along with beer. We estimate that legalization brought around 81,000 jobs between April and June of 1933, 60,000 of which were created in April, when the nation emerged from the trough of the Great Depression. This suggests that around 5.6 percent of nationwide non-agricultural spring employment gains, and around 15 percent of April job gains, were associated with beer legalization. Thus, this very early New Deal policy played an important supporting role in helping the nation turn the corner toward recovery.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.50
自引率
8.70%
发文量
27
期刊介绍: Explorations in Economic History provides broad coverage of the application of economic analysis to historical episodes. The journal has a tradition of innovative applications of theory and quantitative techniques, and it explores all aspects of economic change, all historical periods, all geographical locations, and all political and social systems. The journal includes papers by economists, economic historians, demographers, geographers, and sociologists. Explorations in Economic History is the only journal where you will find "Essays in Exploration." This unique department alerts economic historians to the potential in a new area of research, surveying the recent literature and then identifying the most promising issues to pursue.
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