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Persistent specialization and growth: The Italian land reform 持续专业化与增长:意大利土地改革
IF 1.7 1区 历史学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-01-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.eeh.2025.101739
Riccardo Bianchi-Vimercati , Giampaolo Lecce , Matteo Magnaricotte
The impact of land redistribution on structural transformation is ambiguous. While large landowners may hinder industrialization by restricting access to education, larger farm scale can facilitate mechanization and productivity growth. This study uses novel fine-grained data to examine the long-term effects of the 1950 Italian land reform, which redistributed land from large landowners to landless farmers. Employing two difference-in-differences strategies, we find that the reform significantly slowed industrialization in affected municipalities, which, fifty years after the reform, exhibited an agricultural employment share approximately 70% higher than the estimated counterfactual scenario. Reductions in agglomeration and occupational mobility emerge as key mechanisms, while education seemingly played a limited role. Finally, we show that the reform significantly hindered the overall economic growth of affected municipalities between 1970 and 2000.
土地再分配对结构转型的影响是模糊的。虽然大地主可能因限制受教育的机会而阻碍工业化,但较大的农场规模可以促进机械化和生产力的增长。这项研究使用新颖的细粒度数据来检验1950年意大利土地改革的长期影响,该改革将土地从大地主重新分配给无地农民。采用两种差异中的差异策略,我们发现改革显著减缓了受影响城市的工业化,改革后50年,这些城市的农业就业份额比估计的反事实情景高出约70%。减少集聚和职业流动性是关键机制,而教育似乎发挥了有限的作用。最后,我们发现在1970年至2000年间,改革显著阻碍了受影响城市的整体经济增长。
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引用次数: 0
Economic consequences of the 1933 Soviet famine 1933年苏联饥荒的经济后果
IF 1.7 1区 历史学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-01-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.eeh.2025.101738
Natalya Naumenko
This article studies the changes in the Soviet population and the urbanization patterns after the 1933 famine. It documents several new facts. (1) Although most of the direct victims lived in rural areas, the famine is associated with persistent differences in the urban population. Comparing more affected areas to less affected ones, in the long run, there are no differences in the rural population, but urban settlements in more affected areas are comparatively smaller. (2) Consistent with this pattern, in the long run, there are no differences in grain production and sown area, but electricity production is relatively smaller in more affected areas. (3) These differences were not planned in the First Five-Year Plan (1928–1933), but subsequent plans may have incorporated and exacerbated the differences in urbanization that occurred during the years of rural crisis. The paper argues that labor shortages during the crucial years of rapid industrialization hindered the development of cities in famine-stricken areas. Thus, the timing of the shock to the population is important. While established urban networks tend to recover from large temporary negative shocks, labor shortages during construction and rapid growth might have a permanent negative impact.
本文研究了1933年大饥荒后苏联人口和城市化模式的变化。它记录了几个新的事实。尽管大多数直接受害者生活在农村地区,但饥荒与城市人口的持续差异有关。比较受影响较重的地区和受影响较轻的地区,从长期来看,农村人口没有差异,但受影响较重地区的城市居民点相对较小。(2)与这一规律相一致的是,从长期来看,粮食产量和播种面积没有差异,但受灾地区的发电量相对较小。(3)第一个五年计划(1928-1933)并未考虑到这些差异,但随后的计划可能已经纳入并加剧了农村危机时期出现的城市化差异。本文认为,在快速工业化的关键时期,劳动力短缺阻碍了饥荒地区城市的发展。因此,人口受到冲击的时机很重要。虽然已建立的城市网络往往会从大规模的暂时性负面冲击中恢复过来,但建设期间的劳动力短缺和快速增长可能会产生永久性的负面影响。
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引用次数: 0
Missing markets. Microstructure and liquidity on the London Stock Exchange 缺失市场的微观结构和伦敦证券交易所的流动性
IF 1.7 1区 历史学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eeh.2025.101736
Rui Esteves , Gabriel Geisler Mesevage
This paper studies the behavior of specialist dealers operating in the London Stock Exchange in the 1870s. The LSE was a free-entry exclusive dealers market, where dealers were free to choose which securities to deal in. We show that dealers concentrated their market making in the most liquid securities. A combination of adverse selection and inventory costs prevented the development of liquid markets in most securities, with dealers opting instead to provide matchmaking services. Our results call for a reappreciation of the liquidity of the London market and offer a new interpretation of stylized facts about the Victorian investor behavior.
本文研究了19世纪70年代在伦敦证券交易所运作的专业交易商的行为。伦敦证交所是一个自由进入的独家交易商市场,交易商可以自由选择交易哪种证券。我们表明,交易商集中在流动性最强的证券做市。逆向选择和库存成本的结合阻碍了大多数证券流动性市场的发展,交易商转而选择提供撮合服务。我们的研究结果要求对伦敦市场的流动性进行重新评估,并对维多利亚时代投资者行为的风格化事实提供新的解释。
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引用次数: 0
Delegating governmental authority to private actors: Lordships, state capacity and development 将政府权力下放给私人行为者:领主、国家能力和发展
IF 1.7 1区 历史学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.eeh.2025.101737
Daniel Oto-Peralías
This paper investigates the consequences of delegating governmental authority to private actors through the study of lordships, a pivotal political institution in historical Europe. I first document a negative relationship between being a seigneurial town and central state capacity in ancien-regime Spain. Next, I focus on the Kingdom of Granada after its conquest by Castile in 1492 to leverage on that the initial distribution of lordships was conditionally exogenous, with the results corroborating the negative effect of lordships on state capacity. I further show two additional important results. First, the effect is very persistent, with former lordships towns featuring less state capacity almost a century after the abolition of the seigneurial regime. Second, there is a non-monotonic effect on economic growth. Contrary to conventional wisdom, lordships towns did not underperform royal towns during the Ancien Régime. Yet, despite not having started with disadvantage, former seigneurial towns experienced lower population growth from the 1910s onwards, a period in which the Spanish state started to play a bigger investment role. Thus, towns with historically less state presence benefited less from state’s investments, lagging behind.
本文通过对贵族制度的研究,探讨了将政府权力委托给私人行为者的后果,贵族制度是历史上欧洲的一个关键政治制度。我首先记录了在西班牙古代政权中,作为一个宗主国城镇和中央国家能力之间的负相关关系。接下来,我将重点放在1492年被卡斯蒂利亚征服后的格拉纳达王国,以利用爵位的初始分配是有条件的外生的,结果证实了爵位对国家能力的负面影响。我进一步展示了另外两个重要的结果。首先,这种影响是非常持久的,在领主制度废除近一个世纪后,前领主城镇的国家能力仍在下降。第二,对经济增长有非单调效应。与传统观点相反,在古代革命时期,领主城镇的表现并不逊于皇家城镇。然而,尽管并非一开始就处于劣势,但从20世纪10年代开始,前领主城镇的人口增长速度较低,而在此期间,西班牙政府开始发挥更大的投资作用。因此,历史上国家存在较少的城镇从国家投资中受益较少,落后。
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引用次数: 0
The economic functions of extrajudicial violence in the Jim Crow South 法外暴力在南方种族歧视中的经济功能
IF 1.7 1区 历史学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.eeh.2025.101735
Mark Stelzner , William Darity Jr.
In this paper, we analyze the direct economic functions of White-on-Black violence in the Jim Crow South. As we will see, White-on-Black violence was used to control Black labor and to seize gains made by Black agriculturalists. We find that White-on-Black lynchings during the pre-harvest period were used by White landlords to increase the total amount of man-hours expended by Black sharecroppers. We also find that the occurrence of one or more White-on-Black lynchings in a given county is associated with a 1.9 percent decrease in Black landownership in the same county in each of the three years following said lynching, and we find that the 1912 Forsyth Massacre and the 1906 Atlanta Massacre had even larger effects. Given the high frequency of White-on-Black violence in the Jim Crow South, the impact on Black labor and the cumulative effect on Black landownership and town and city property were huge.
在本文中,我们分析了白人对黑人暴力的直接经济功能。正如我们将看到的,白人对黑人的暴力被用来控制黑人劳工和夺取黑人农学家的成果。我们发现,白人地主在收获前使用白人对黑人的私刑来增加黑人佃农所花费的总工时。我们还发现,在一个特定的县发生一次或多次白人对黑人的私刑,与该县黑人土地所有权在上述私刑之后的三年中每年下降1.9%有关,我们发现1912年福赛斯大屠杀和1906年亚特兰大大屠杀的影响更大。考虑到南方种族隔离地区白人对黑人的暴力事件频发,这对黑人劳动力的影响以及对黑人土地所有权和城镇财产的累积影响是巨大的。
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引用次数: 0
Crowd-sourced Chinese genealogies as data for demographic and economic history 人群来源的中国族谱作为人口和经济史的数据
IF 1.7 1区 历史学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-11-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.eeh.2025.101734
Melanie Meng Xue
This paper evaluates the usefulness of crowd-sourced Chinese genealogical data for quantitative research in demography and economic history. I first examine whether genealogies — despite well-known selection biases — produce demographic patterns consistent with established historical knowledge of China. Comparisons with existing studies show that aggregate population-growth trends and sex ratios over time align reasonably well with established demographic and historical findings, suggesting that genealogies, though selective, capture coherent and interpretable patterns. Building on these plausibility checks, the paper argues that the main value of genealogical data lies in their scalability and temporal depth, particularly as crowd-sourced digitization vastly expands the number of available records. These features make genealogies well suited to analyses that leverage variation across regions and over time, an approach that is central in modern economic history.
本文评估了群体来源的中国家谱数据在人口统计学和经济史定量研究中的有用性。我首先考察了家谱——尽管众所周知的选择偏见——是否产生了与既定的中国历史知识相一致的人口模式。与现有研究的比较表明,随着时间的推移,总体人口增长趋势和性别比例与既定的人口和历史发现相当吻合,这表明家谱虽然有选择性,但却捕捉到了连贯和可解释的模式。在这些合理性检验的基础上,本文认为家谱数据的主要价值在于它们的可扩展性和时间深度,特别是当众包数字化极大地扩展了可用记录的数量时。这些特征使得家谱非常适合于利用不同地区和不同时间的差异进行分析,这是现代经济史上的一种核心方法。
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引用次数: 0
Risk-coping behaviors in metropolis: Evidence from working-class households in Prewar Tokyo 大都市的风险应对行为:战前东京工薪阶层家庭的证据
IF 1.7 1区 历史学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-11-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.eeh.2025.101722
Kota Ogasawara
I analyze the risk-coping strategies of factory–worker households in early twentieth-century Tokyo. I digitized a unique daily longitudinal household budget survey conducted in Tsukishima, a representative manufacturing area, to examine how consumption was affected by idiosyncratic shocks. I find that although the households were vulnerable and their consumption levels were impacted by these shocks, the estimated income elasticity of indispensable consumption was relatively low in the short run. The results of the mechanism analysis suggest that credit purchases from local retailers helped smooth short-run consumption, highlighting the role of informal credit institutions in mitigating vulnerability among urban worker households.
我分析了二十世纪初东京工厂工人家庭的风险应对策略。我将一项在筑岛(Tsukishima)进行的独特的每日纵向家庭预算调查数字化,筑岛是一个具有代表性的制造业地区,目的是研究消费如何受到特殊冲击的影响。我发现,虽然家庭是脆弱的,他们的消费水平受到这些冲击的影响,但在短期内,估计的必要消费的收入弹性相对较低。机制分析的结果表明,当地零售商的信贷购买有助于平稳短期消费,突出了非正式信贷机构在减轻城市工人家庭脆弱性方面的作用。
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引用次数: 0
Living standards in Angola, 1760–19751 安哥拉的生活水平,1760-1975
IF 1.7 1区 历史学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-11-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.eeh.2025.101732
Hélder Carvalhal , Nuno Palma
We investigate the well-being of urban workers in Angola under colonialism. Using a newly compiled dataset derived from archival and secondary sources, we construct welfare ratios for both skilled and unskilled workers in the cities of Luanda and Benguela from 1760 to 1975. Our findings indicate that Angolan workers experienced lower economic prosperity compared to their counterparts in other parts of the world. Living standards declined during the 19th century, followed by a recovery emerging in the 20th century — particularly from the mid-1960s.
我们调查了殖民主义下安哥拉城市工人的福利。利用从档案资料和二手资料中获得的新编制的数据集,我们构建了1760年至1975年罗安达和本格拉两市熟练工人和非熟练工人的福利比率。我们的研究结果表明,与世界其他地区的工人相比,安哥拉工人的经济繁荣程度较低。生活水平在19世纪下降,随后在20世纪出现复苏,特别是从20世纪60年代中期开始。
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引用次数: 0
Democratization, personal wealth of politicians and voting behavior 民主化、政治家个人财富与投票行为
IF 1.7 1区 历史学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-11-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.eeh.2025.101733
Bas Machielsen
Between about 1850 and 1920, Western Europe underwent a period of democratization and liberalization, resulting in the expansion of government and the establishment of universal suffrage. This paper examines the impact of politicians’ personal wealth on this process, with a focus on the case of The Netherlands, using data from newly-collected probate inventories as a measure of politicians’ wealth. The paper finds that the wealth of parliaments decreased significantly over time, and that richer politicians were more likely to vote against fiscal legislation, suggesting that personal wealth negatively influenced the probability of increasing taxes and played a role in determining government size. The analyses presented in the paper support a causal interpretation of these results. However, the study finds no significant relationship between politicians’ personal wealth and their voting behavior on suffrage extensions.
大约在1850年到1920年之间,西欧经历了民主化和自由化的时期,导致了政府的扩张和普选权的建立。本文研究了政治家的个人财富对这一过程的影响,重点是荷兰的情况,使用新收集的遗嘱清单数据作为政治家财富的衡量标准。本文发现,随着时间的推移,议会的财富显著减少,更富有的政治家更有可能投票反对财政立法,这表明个人财富对增税的可能性产生了负面影响,并在决定政府规模方面发挥了作用。文中提出的分析支持对这些结果的因果解释。然而,研究发现,政治家的个人财富与他们在延长选举权方面的投票行为之间没有显著的关系。
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引用次数: 0
A land of sages: A legacy of former elites and university professors in Vietnam 圣贤之地:越南前精英和大学教授的遗产
IF 1.7 1区 历史学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-11-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.eeh.2025.101723
Luu Duc Toan Huynh , Kiet Tuan Duong
Using a unique dataset of 3,022 elites from the Ly to Nguyen dynasties (1075–1919) and 1,324 recent associate (and full) professors (2021–2023), we find that regions with more historical elites have more modern professors. Using the distance to the school exam venue and the distance to the coastal areas as instrumental variables, we establish such a causal relationship. In addition, social capital benefits those from areas dense with historical elites. We analyze data from temples, schools, and streets named after elites to identify cultural mechanisms linking historical elites to contemporary academic roles in Vietnam. This study demonstrates the lasting impact of historical traditions on human capital today in Confucian contexts.
我们使用了一个独特的数据集,其中包括从李朝到阮朝(1075-1919)的3022名精英和最近的1324名副教授(和正教授)(2021-2023),我们发现历史精英越多的地区有更多的现代教授。我们使用到学校考场的距离和到沿海地区的距离作为工具变量,建立了这样的因果关系。此外,社会资本有利于那些历史精英密集地区的人。我们分析了以精英命名的寺庙、学校和街道的数据,以确定越南历史精英与当代学术角色之间的文化机制。本研究展示了历史传统对当今儒家背景下人力资本的持久影响。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Explorations in Economic History
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