香港在“一带一路”融资中的中介作用:如何与新加坡抗衡?

A. Garcia-Herrero, Hanrui Li, G. Ng
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引用次数: 0

摘要

从古代丝绸之路汲取灵感,中国早在2013年就铺上了“一带一路”的红地毯。“一带一路”规划的重点是基础设施建设和投资,以加强中国与世界的区域和全球互联互通。它包括陆上丝绸之路经济带和海上21世纪海上丝绸之路。考虑到这些项目的跨境性质和实现其目标所需的庞大融资规模(中国当局估计约为5万亿美元),很明显,主要离岸中心应该在“一带一路”沿线国家的这些项目中发挥中介作用。在亚洲,香港和新加坡是明显的选择,因为两地毗邻中国大陆,而且与中国大陆关系密切。香港在为“一带一路”下的基础设施项目融资方面处于有利地位,因为它包括大量的外国银行,这些银行可以为此目的中介外国储蓄(Garcia-Herrero, 2017)。除了拥有庞大的硬通货资产池外,香港还是全球最大的离岸人民币中心。鉴于中国当局长期以来一直试图加速使用人民币作为“一带一路”项目的融资工具,香港应该受益于其在离岸人民币市场的领先地位(Chan, 2015)。此外,香港作为2019年全球ipo金额最大的大型股票市场,应成为向在“一带一路”地区经营的公司提供股权融资的平台(HKGCC, 2019)。最后,作为大湾区的一部分,香港可以比新加坡有更多的场地来整合一带一路投资与大湾区的投资,大湾区一直是中国最具活力的部分。这应该会使香港作为“一带一路”融资的中介对投资者更具吸引力(毕马威,2018)。张和Hong(2019)指出,尽管香港有潜力成为“一带一路”的金融中心,这要归功于其透明的法律框架和其他原因(EY, 2016),但这一结果没有发生,部分原因是香港的上市规则。基建项目公司被香港证券及期货事务监察委员会视为高风险申请人。因此,需要满足几个因素,包括但不限于中国大陆国有企业的大量持股,主权财富基金,实质性上市公司或全球活跃的机构投资者。
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Hong Kong’s Intermediary Role on Funding the BRI: How Does it Fare Against Singapore?
China has rolled out the red carpet of the Belt and Road (BRI) back in 2013 drawing inspiration from the Silk Road in ancient times. The grand plan focuses on infrastructure development and investments to enhance regional and global connectivity between China and the world. It includes a Silk Road Economic Belt on land and a 21st century Maritime Silk Road at sea. Given the cross-border nature of the projects and the sheer size of financing needed to accomplish its goals (estimated at around USD 5 trillion by Chinese authorities ), it seems clear that major offshore centers should play a role in intermediating savings towards these projects along the BRI countries. In Asia, Hong Kong and Singapore are the clear choices given the proximity and relationship with Mainland China.

Hong Kong is well placed to finance the infrastructure projects under the BRI as it includes a large number of foreign banks which can intermediate foreign savings to that end (Garcia-Herrero, 2017). Other than the large asset pool in hard currency, Hong Kong is also the largest offshore RMB center in the world. Given that Chinese authorities have long tried to accelerate the use of the RMB as a financing vehicle for BRI projects, Hong Kong should benefit from its pole position in the offshore RMB market (Chan, 2015). Besides, Hong Kong’s large stock market with the largest amount of IPOs globally by value in 2019 should serve as a platform to provide equity finance to companies operating in the BRI geographies (HKGCC, 2019). Finally, as part of the Greater Bay Area (GBA), Hong Kong can have more venues than Singapore to integrate BRI investment with that of GBA, which has long been the most dynamic part of China. This should make Hong Kong as the intermediator for BRI financing more appealing for investors (KPMG, 2018). Cheung and Hong (2019) pointed though Hong Kong had the potential to be a financial hub in the BRI thanks to its transparent legal framework among other reasons (EY, 2016), but this result hasn’t happened partially due to the listing rule in Hong Kong. Infrastructure project companies are regarded as risky applicants by Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong. Therefore, several factors need to be fulfilled including but not limited to a large shareholding by state-owned enterprise in Mainland China, sovereign wealth fund, substantial listed company or globally active institutional investor.
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