财富再分配对选举的影响。来自意大利土地改革的证据

Bruno Caprettini, L. Casaburi, Miriam Venturini
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引用次数: 8

摘要

我们研究了意大利一项重大土地改革的政治后果,该改革将大庄园分割开来,并将土地转让给小所有者。采用面板空间回归不连续设计,我们发现改革有利于现任基督教民主党。选举的好处持续了四十年。我们推测,改革产生了一种合作的政治均衡,在这种均衡中,受改革城镇的选民支持候选人和执政党的议程,而执政党则促进这些城镇的利益。对财政转移、公共部门就业和全民公投的分析支持这一假设。
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The Electoral Impact of Wealth Redistribution. Evidence from the Italian Land Reform
We study the political consequences of a major land reform in Italy, which split large estates and transferred land to small owners. Using a panel spatial regression discontinuity design, we show that the reform benefited the incumbent Christian Democrat party. The electoral benefits persist for four decades. We conjecture that the reform generated a cooperative political equilibrium in which voters in treated towns supported the candidates and the agenda of the incumbent party, and the party promoted the interests of these towns. Analysis of fiscal transfers, public sector employment, and referendum voting supports this hypothesis.
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