阿根廷2021年:危机背景下的选举

Virginia Oliveros, Gabriel Vommaro
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摘要

在这篇文章中,我们描述了2021年阿根廷的主要政治事件。在新冠肺炎疫情和政府应对等经济危机和国民疲惫不堪的情况下,贝隆政府在国会中期选举中失败。2021年初,费尔南德斯的支持率下降,经济和政治局势恶化。这进一步限制了他对社会需求积累的反应能力。此外,执政联盟内部的协调问题在2021年更加严重,对政府的表现产生了负面影响。虽然反对派联盟也经历了内部紧张局势,但它能够在中期选举中利用政府的协调问题。两极竞争结构的巩固、两极分化程度的加剧和联盟内部协调问题之间的关系,造成了一种国内政治,其日常运作在短期内是不稳定的,但在中期相对稳定。
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ARGENTINA 2021: ELECCIONES EN CONTEXTO DE CRISIS
In this article, we describe the main political events in Argentina during 2021. In a context of economic crisis and citizen exhaustion with the COVID-19 pandemic and the government's response to it, the Alberto Fernandez Peronist administration lost the mid-term legislative elections. Fernandez began 2021 with his popularity in decline and a deteriorated economic and political situation. This further limited his ability to respond to the accumulation of social demands. Moreover, coordination problems within the governing coalition got worse during 2021 and had a negative impact on the government's performance. While the opposition coalition also experienced internal tensions, it was able to take advantage of the government's coordination problems in the midterm elections. The relationship between the consolidation of a bipolar structure of competition, rising levels of polarization, and coalitions' internal coordination problems generate a domestic politics that is unstable in its day to day functioning and in the short term, but relatively stable in the medium term.
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