基于自监督对比学习的有效交通预测

Yuqian Song
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引用次数: 0

摘要

由于大规模交通数据的可用性日益增加,出租车需求预测最近吸引了越来越多的研究兴趣,这可能会赋予各种现实世界的应用。准确的出租车需求预测可以提高车辆利用率,减少乘客等待出租车的时间,缓解交通拥堵。虽然考虑了空间依赖性和时间动态性,但由于过拟合问题,以往大多数模型过于复杂的方法很容易达到次优性能。对比无监督学习最近取得了令人鼓舞的进展,它有很大的潜力在没有大量人工标记的情况下学习有效的数据表示。在本文中,我们利用对比学习构造一个有效的辅助任务,以自监督的方式学习数据的特征表示。通过对比学习获得的模型可以随后应用于下游任务,这被证明对过拟合具有更强的鲁棒性。在大规模数据集上进行的大量实验和评估很好地证明了我们提出的模型在出租车需求预测方面优于其他比较方法。
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Effective Traffic Prediction with Self-Supervised Contrastive Learning
Taxi demand prediction has recently attracted increasing research interest due to the growing availability of large-scale traffic data, which could empower various real-world applications. Accurate taxi demand prediction can improve vehicle utilization, reduce the time for passengers to wait for taxis, and mitigate traffic congestion. Although both spatial dependencies and temporal dynamics have been considered, most of the previous methods with over-complicated models might easily achieve suboptimal performance due to the overfitting issue. Contrastive unsupervised learning has recently shown encouraging progress, which has great potential to learn effective data representations without extensive manual labeling. In this paper, we utilize contrastive learning to construct an effective auxiliary task to learn feature representations of data in a self-supervised manner. The model learned via contrastive learning can be subsequently applied for downstream tasks, which is proven to be more robust against overfitting. The extensive experiments and evaluations on a large-scale dataset well demonstrate the superiority of our proposed model over other compared methods for taxi demand prediction.
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