基于二项式系数和变异系数的电网投资决策优化

Xu Qiangsheng, Tian Biye, Zhou Jinping, Ma Qiang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

投资促进供给侧结构调整和需求侧响应,实现双边发电是必然趋势。未来电网重点领域的投资策略和发展路径是电力企业关注的焦点。考虑电网投资的导数值,提出了一种基于二项式系数和变异系数的智能电网投资决策评价模型。首先,概述了电网投资衍生价值的概念、标准和方法;其次,从电网投资效益、电网运维效果和可持续发展价值三个方面构建智能电网投资衍生价值指标体系;基于二项式系数法和变异系数法,构建主客观融合的组合加权法,并根据不同场景需求调整动态组合因子,实现多目标的动态平衡,体现主客观方法的互补优势。最后。用曲线对比图和特定三维曲线验证了该方法的有效性和准确性。
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Power grid investment decision optimization based on binomial coefficient and variation coefficient
It is an inevitable trend that investment promotes supply side structural adjustment and demand side response to achieve bilateral power generation. Investment strategies and development paths in key areas of power grid in the future are the focus of power enterprises. Considering the derivative value of power grid investment, this paper proposes a smart grid investment decision evaluation model based on binomial coefficient and variation coefficient. First, the concept, criteria and methods of grid investment derivative value are summarized; Secondly, the smart grid investment derivative value index system is constructed from three aspects: grid investment benefit, grid operation and maintenance effect, and sustainable development value; Based on binomial coefficient method and variation coefficient method,a combination weighting method of subjective and objective fusion is constructed, and dynamic combination factors are adjusted according to different scene requirements to achieve dynamic balance of multiple objectives, reflecting the complementary advantages of subjective and objective methods. At last.we use Curve Comparison Chart and Specific 3D Curve to prove the effectiveness and accuracy of our method.
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