运行寿命测度在人工举升系统可靠性评估中的应用

P. Skoczylas, F. Alhanati, J. Sheldon, F. Trevisan
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引用次数: 3

摘要

运营商通常希望通过提高人工举升(AL)系统的可靠性来减少停工时间和维修/更换成本。为了了解为提高可靠性所采取的措施是否有效,必须跟踪人工智能系统的运行寿命。本文讨论了人工智能工业中常用的运行寿命测量方法,并就何时使用每种运行寿命测量方法提供了建议。利用已知统计分布的随机运行和故障数据生成的合成数据,用于说明各种因素(例如选择具有较高固有可靠性的设备)对最终测量运行寿命的影响。本文还提出了在选择运行寿命措施以比较设备或实施运营商-供应商联盟合同时应避免的几个陷阱。
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Use of Run-Life Measures in Estimating Artificial Lift System Reliability
Operators generally want to reduce well down-time and repair/replacement costs by improving the reliability of their Artificial lift (AL) systems. In order to understand if actions taken to improve reliability are effective, one must track the AL system run-life. This paper discusses run-life measures commonly used in the AL industry and provides recommendations for when each run-life measure should be used. Synthetic data, generated using random runtime and failure data from known statistical distributions, is used to illustrate the effect of various factors, such as selecting equipment with higher inherent reliability, on the resulting measured run-life. This paper also presents several pitfalls that should be avoided when selecting run-life measures for comparing equipment or implementing operator-vendor alliance contracts.
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