部门增长、出口和能源消费:以巴基斯坦为例

Komal Urooj, M. A. Zafar
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摘要

经济增长是影响巴基斯坦能源消费的一个突出因素。本研究旨在探讨1990年至2019年长时间内巴基斯坦部门增长、农业、工业和服务业GDP增长对化石燃料能源消费水平的影响。数据来自WDI(世界发展指标)。ARDL(自动回归分配滞后模型)计量经济模型旨在研究化石燃料或能源消耗对巴基斯坦短期和长期经济增长的影响。结果表明,能源消费或化石燃料的使用对工业、个人支出和商品出口的负面影响显著,对农业和服务业的正向影响显著。这些结果表明,经济扩张对巴基斯坦能源消费的增加起着重要作用。
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Sectoral Growth, Exports, and Energy Consumption: A Case of Pakistan
Economic Growth is a prominent factor to affect the energy consumption of Pakistan. This study tends to explore the influence of GDP growth of sectoral growth, agricultural, industrial and service sector on the level of energy consumption fossil fuel in Pakistan from 1990 to 2019 long period of time. The data was obtained from WDI (World Development Indicators).  ARDL (Auto Regressive Distributive Lag Model) econometric model was designed to look into the impacts of fossil fuel or energy consumption on Pakistan’s economic growth in both the short-run and long-run. Results revealed negative impacts of energy consumption or the use of fossil fuel on industry, personal expenditures, and exports of goods and positively affect agriculture and services and model is significant. These results showed that that economic expansion plays important role to increase energy consumption of Pakistan.
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