制度与经济增长的因果关系:基于巴基斯坦经济的实证研究

D. Siddiqui, Q. M. Ahmed
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引用次数: 13

摘要

本文运用Johansen-Juselius协整技术和Granger因果检验对巴基斯坦制度质量与经济绩效之间的关系进行了研究。研究结果表明,制度与增长是协整的,表现出可靠的长期关系。格兰杰因果检验结果表明,制度与增长之间的因果关系是单向的。然而,从制度到增长并没有短期的因果关系,反之亦然。因此,作为一项政策,制度质量可能导致国家收入的长期可持续增长,任何政策的成功都可能受到制度健全的影响。
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The Causal Relationship Between Institutions and Economic Growth: An Empirical Investigation for Pakistan Economy
This paper investigates relationship between institutional quality and economic performance in Pakistan using the Johansen-Juselius cointegration technique and the Granger causality test. The study results indicate that Institutions and growth are cointegrated and thus exhibit a reliable long run relationship. The Granger causality test findings indicate that the causality between Institutions and growth is uni-directional.However, there is no short run causality from Institutions to growth and vice versa. Therefore, as a policy implication that institutional quality may cause to the sustainable increase in country’s income in the long run, and success of any policy could be influenced by the soundness of institutions.
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