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Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank 亚洲基础设施投资银行
David Morris
The Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank is a multilateral development bank established in 2016 with a mission to improve social and economic outcomes in Asia, by investing in sustainable infrastructure and other productive sectors. By bolstering finance for development, the bank promises improved economic security for its member states, most of which have unmet demand for energy and other infrastructure. The new institution represents, however, a challenge to the international system. Along with a series of other new institutions and platforms for engaging with the developing world, the AIIB marks China’s return to great power status, contributing to global governance alongside the United States of America.
亚洲基础设施投资银行是一家成立于2016年的多边开发银行,其使命是通过投资于可持续基础设施和其他生产性部门,改善亚洲的社会和经济成果。通过支持发展融资,亚投行承诺改善其成员国的经济安全,其中大多数成员国在能源和其他基础设施方面的需求尚未得到满足。然而,这个新机构是对国际体系的挑战。与其他一系列与发展中国家打交道的新机构和平台一起,亚投行标志着中国重返大国地位,与美国一道为全球治理做出贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Comments on First Draft of the International Covenant on Economic, Social and Cultural Rights (ICESCR), 4th Periodic Report for Ireland 2020 对《经济、社会、文化权利国际公约》(ICESCR)初稿的评论,爱尔兰2020年第四次定期报告
L. Thornton
This submission relates to two key areas of the draft first report of the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade (DFAT) on Ireland's 4th periodic report under the International Covenant on Economic, Social and Cultural Rights (ICESCR):

(1) the domestic application of ICESCR in Ireland;

(2) economic and social rights of persons seeking asylum (international protection) in Ireland.
本意见书涉及外交和贸易事务部关于爱尔兰根据《经济、社会和文化权利国际公约》提交的第四次定期报告的第一份报告草案中的两个关键领域:(1)《经济、社会和文化权利国际公约》在爱尔兰的国内适用;(2)在爱尔兰寻求庇护(国际保护)的人的经济和社会权利。
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引用次数: 1
Governing AI 人工智能管理
Scott J. Shackelford, Rachel Dockery
Artificial intelligence (AI) is increasingly pervasive and essential to everyday life, enabling apps and various smart devices to autonomous vehicles and medical devices. Yet along with the promise of an increasingly interconnected and responsive Internet of Everything, AI is ushering in a host of legal, social, economic, and cultural challenges. The variety of stakeholders involved – spanning governments, industries, and users around the world – presents unique opportunities and governance questions for how best to facilitate the safe and equitable development, deployment, and use of innovative AI applications. Regulators around the world at the state, national, and international levels are actively considering next steps in regulating this suite of technologies, but with little sense of how their efforts can build on and reinforce one another. This state of affairs points to the need for novel approaches to nested governance, particularly among leading AI powers including the United States, European Union, and China. This Article provides an overview of AI and the numerous challenges it presents with special attention being paid to autonomous vehicles, along with exploring the lessons to be learned from polycentric governance frameworks and how to apply such social science constructs to the world of AI.
人工智能(AI)在日常生活中日益普及和必不可少,使应用程序和各种智能设备能够自动驾驶汽车和医疗设备。然而,随着万物互联的日益紧密和反应迅速,人工智能也带来了一系列法律、社会、经济和文化方面的挑战。涉及的各种利益相关者——跨越世界各地的政府、行业和用户——为如何最好地促进安全、公平地开发、部署和使用创新的人工智能应用提供了独特的机会和治理问题。世界各地的州、国家和国际层面的监管机构都在积极考虑监管这一系列技术的下一步措施,但他们对如何相互促进和加强努力知之甚少。这种情况表明,需要采用新的方法来实现嵌套式治理,尤其是在包括美国、欧盟和中国在内的主要人工智能大国之间。本文概述了人工智能及其带来的众多挑战,并特别关注自动驾驶汽车,同时探讨了从多中心治理框架中吸取的教训,以及如何将这些社会科学结构应用于人工智能世界。
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引用次数: 2
Putting Global Governance in its Place 落实全球治理
D. Rodrik
Greater interdependence is often taken to require more global governance, but the logic requires scrutiny. Cross-border spillovers do not always call for international rules. The canonical cases for global governance are based on two sets of circumstances: global commons and “beggar-thy-neighbor” (BTN) policies. The world economy is not a global commons (outside of climate change), and much of our current discussions deal with policies that are not true BTNs. Some of these are beggar-thyself policies; others may produce domestic benefits, addressing real market distortions or legitimate social objectives. The case for global governance in such policies, I will argue, is very weak, and possibly outweighed by the risk that global oversight or regulation would backfire. While these policy domains are certainly rife with failures, such failures arise not from weaknesses of global governance, but from failures of national governance and cannot be fixed through international agreements or multilateral cooperation. I advocate a mode of global governance that I call “democracy-enhancing global governance,” to be distinguished from “globalization-enhancing global governance.”
更大程度的相互依赖往往被认为需要更多的全球治理,但这种逻辑需要仔细审视。跨境溢出效应并不总是需要国际规则。全球治理的典型案例基于两种情况:全球公地和“以邻为壑”(BTN)政策。世界经济不是一个全球公域(除了气候变化),我们目前的许多讨论涉及的政策都不是真正的btn。其中一些是自讨苦吃的政策;其他可能产生国内利益,解决真正的市场扭曲或合法的社会目标。我认为,在此类政策中实施全球治理的理由非常薄弱,而且可能被全球监督或监管适得其反的风险所压倒。虽然这些政策领域肯定充斥着失败,但这些失败不是由于全球治理的弱点,而是由于国家治理的失败,不能通过国际协定或多边合作来解决。我提倡一种全球治理模式,我称之为“民主促进型全球治理”,以区别于“全球化促进型全球治理”。
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引用次数: 21
Multiple Social Credit Systems in China 中国的多重社会信用体系
C. Liu
Published on Economic Sociology: The European Electronic Newsletter, 2019, 21 (1): 22–32. In 2014, the Chinese government proposed to build a social credit system (SCS) to better collect and evaluate citizens’ creditworthiness and grant rewards and punishments based on one’s social credit. Since then, various SCS pilots have been enacted. While current media and scholars often perceive SCS as a single and unified system, this paper argues that there are in fact multiple SCSs in China. I identify four main types of SCS and articulate the relationships among them. Each SCS has different assumptions, operationalizations, and implementations. China’s central bank, the People’s Bank of China, and the macroeconomic management agency, the National Development and Reform Commission, are the two most important actors in the design and implementation of the multiple SCSs. Yet their distinctive views about what “credit” is and what an SCS should be produced great tensions on the SCS landscape. I also historicize current SCSs and show that many elements and assumptions of SCSs can be traced back to a broader political history of the People’s Republic of China (PRC). Finally, I propose an alternative theoretical framework to understand Chinese SCSs as a symbolic system with performative power that is more than a simple repressive and direct political project.
经济社会学:欧洲电子通讯,2019,21(1):22-32。2014年,中国政府提出建立社会信用体系(SCS),以更好地收集和评估公民的信用,并根据一个人的社会信用给予奖励和惩罚。从那时起,各种SCS试点已经颁布。虽然目前的媒体和学者往往将SCS视为一个单一的统一系统,但本文认为中国实际上存在多个SCS。我确定了四种主要的SCS类型,并阐明了它们之间的关系。每个SCS都有不同的假设、操作和实现。中国的中央银行——中国人民银行和宏观经济管理机构——国家发展和改革委员会,是设计和实施多重社会责任体系的两个最重要的角色。然而,他们对什么是“信用”和什么是“南海”的独特看法,在南海格局中造成了巨大的紧张。我还将当前的社会保障体系历史化,并表明社会保障体系的许多要素和假设可以追溯到中华人民共和国(PRC)更广泛的政治史。最后,我提出了另一种理论框架,将中国的社会保障体系理解为具有表演力量的符号系统,而不仅仅是一个简单的压制性和直接的政治项目。
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引用次数: 54
A Theory of Contestation Space in International Regimes 国际制度中的争端空间理论
Rachel Esplin Odell
In a time of uncertainty in the international order, scholars of international relations are directing increased attention to both systemic power transitions and contestation of global norms and institutions. Although similar real-world dynamics are motivating both of these scholarly trends, there has been little cross-pollination among scholars studying power at a systemic and structural level and those studying power at a normative and discursive level. This paper merges insights from these literatures to explain how states’ contestation of the normative components of the international order shapes global politics during times of power transition. It does so by introducing the theoretical concept of contestation space in international regimes. This concept modifies a basic rational choice bargaining model to depict how new equilibria regimes are formed under conditions of contestation over the principles, norms, rules, and decision-making procedures that compose international regimes. The theoretical concept of contestation space shows how ambiguity, omission, and contradiction in complex international agreements make room for contested understandings of bargaining outcomes. This contestation space facilitates the establishment of new equilibria in international regimes, but it can also act as a source of misperception and conflict during power transitions. This theory thus contributes to a burgeoning research program in the study of realpolitik that analyzes the broad range of instruments of power states employ and emphasizes the ways that hierarchy operates in international relations.
在国际秩序充满不确定性的时代,国际关系学者越来越关注系统性权力转移和全球规范与制度的争论。尽管相似的现实世界动态推动了这两种学术趋势,但在系统和结构层面研究权力的学者与在规范和话语层面研究权力的学者之间很少有交叉授粉。本文结合这些文献的见解来解释国家对国际秩序规范组成部分的争夺如何在权力过渡时期塑造全球政治。它通过在国际制度中引入争端空间的理论概念来做到这一点。这一概念修改了一个基本的理性选择议价模型,以描述在对构成国际制度的原则、规范、规则和决策程序进行争论的条件下,新的均衡制度是如何形成的。争论空间的理论概念表明,复杂国际协议中的歧义、遗漏和矛盾如何为对谈判结果的有争议的理解提供了空间。这种争论空间有助于在国际制度中建立新的平衡,但它也可能成为权力过渡期间误解和冲突的根源。因此,这一理论为现实政治研究中的一个新兴研究项目做出了贡献,该项目分析了国家使用的广泛权力工具,并强调了等级制度在国际关系中的运作方式。
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引用次数: 0
The Causal Relationship Between Institutions and Economic Growth: An Empirical Investigation for Pakistan Economy 制度与经济增长的因果关系:基于巴基斯坦经济的实证研究
D. Siddiqui, Q. M. Ahmed
This paper investigates relationship between institutional quality and economic performance in Pakistan using the Johansen-Juselius cointegration technique and the Granger causality test. The study results indicate that Institutions and growth are cointegrated and thus exhibit a reliable long run relationship. The Granger causality test findings indicate that the causality between Institutions and growth is uni-directional.However, there is no short run causality from Institutions to growth and vice versa. Therefore, as a policy implication that institutional quality may cause to the sustainable increase in country’s income in the long run, and success of any policy could be influenced by the soundness of institutions.
本文运用Johansen-Juselius协整技术和Granger因果检验对巴基斯坦制度质量与经济绩效之间的关系进行了研究。研究结果表明,制度与增长是协整的,表现出可靠的长期关系。格兰杰因果检验结果表明,制度与增长之间的因果关系是单向的。然而,从制度到增长并没有短期的因果关系,反之亦然。因此,作为一项政策,制度质量可能导致国家收入的长期可持续增长,任何政策的成功都可能受到制度健全的影响。
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引用次数: 13
Third-Party Policymakers and the Limits of the Influence of Indicators 第三方政策制定者与指标影响的局限性
Melissa M. Lee, Aila M. Matanock
Author(s): Lee, Melissa M; Matanock, Aila M | Editor(s): Kelley, Judith; Simmons, Beth | Abstract: Global performance indicators can help leaders overcome rent-seeking politicians or competition-fearing monopolies by empowering allies, shaming bureaucrats, mobilizing publics, and promising to attract investment.19 External validationn...
作者:Lee, Melissa M;马塔诺克,艾拉·M·b|编辑:凯利,朱迪思;摘要:全球绩效指标可以帮助领导者通过授权盟友、羞辱官僚、动员公众和承诺吸引投资来克服寻租政客或担心竞争的垄断外部validationn……
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引用次数: 4
Allocation of Implementing Power: Evidence from World Bank Projects 执行权的分配:来自世界银行项目的证据
S. Marchesi, T. Masi
In this paper we explore the factors that determine the level at which World Bank projects are implemented. In particular, focusing on the importance of informational asymmetry between levels of government, we empirically assess whether this choice is influenced by the relative importance of local information at the recipient country level. Using an AidData dataset that provides information on more than 5800 World Bank projects for the period 1995-2014, and controlling for characteristics at both country and project level, we find that transparency does influence the probability that a project is implemented locally rather than nationally. More specifically, a one standard deviation decline in transparency increases the probability that a World Bank project will be implemented locally by 3 percent.
在本文中,我们探讨了决定世界银行项目实施水平的因素。特别是,关注各级政府之间信息不对称的重要性,我们通过经验评估这种选择是否受到受援国一级当地信息相对重要性的影响。使用提供1995-2014年期间5800多个世界银行项目信息的AidData数据集,并控制国家和项目层面的特征,我们发现透明度确实会影响项目在地方而不是全国实施的可能性。更具体地说,透明度每下降一个标准差,世界银行项目在当地实施的可能性就会增加3%。
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引用次数: 0
Mobilization Effects of Multilateral Development Banks 多边开发银行的动员效应
Chiara Broccolini, G. Lotti, A. Maffioli, A. Presbitero, Rodolfo Stucchi
This study uses loan-level data on syndicated lending to a large sample of developing countries between 1993 and 2017 to estimate the mobilization effects of multilateral development banks (MDBs), that is, their ability to crowd-in capital from private creditors. Controlling for a large set of fixed effects, the paper shows evidence of positive and significant mobilization effects of multilateral lending on the size of bank inflows. The number of lenders and the average maturity of syndicated loans also increase. These effects are present not only on impact but last for up to three years and are not offset by a decline in bond financing. There is no evidence of anticipation effects, and the results are robust to numerous tests controlling for the role of confounding factors and unobserved heterogeneity. Finally, the results are economically sizable, indicating that MDBs can mobilize about seven dollars in bank credit over a three-year period for each dollar invested.
本研究使用1993年至2017年期间向发展中国家提供银团贷款的贷款水平数据来估计多边开发银行(mdb)的动员效应,即它们从私人债权人那里挤入资本的能力。控制了大量的固定效应,本文显示了多边贷款对银行流入规模的积极和显著的动员效应的证据。贷款机构的数量和银团贷款的平均期限也有所增加。这些影响不仅存在于影响上,而且会持续长达三年,不会被债券融资的减少所抵消。没有预期效应的证据,并且结果在控制混杂因素和未观察到的异质性的作用的许多测试中是稳健的。最后,结果在经济上是可观的,表明多边开发银行每投资一美元,可以在三年内调动大约七美元的银行信贷。
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引用次数: 35
期刊
International Institutions: Politics of International Institutions & Global Governance eJournal
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