俄罗斯联邦空间开发代理模型中的商业项目模拟

A. Mashkova, E. Novikova, O. Savina
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在本文中,我们提出了基于主体的俄罗斯联邦空间发展模型,作为模拟关键行业商业项目及其对区域经济影响的工具。模型接口用于定义每个项目的地区和行业,以及由组织、联邦和地区预算共同资助的结构。在项目实现的算法中,确定了投资供给计划,模拟了组织的补充过程,并反映在会计中。在计算实验中,研究了不同地区商业项目实现的结果。实验项目包括来自不同联邦区的四个地区。在每个区域,根据俄罗斯联邦空间发展战略中确定的经济专业化角度,选择了三个重点产业。结果表明,这些组织的产出、财产和设备以及所选地区的就业和人口收入都有显著增加。
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Simulation of Business Projects in the Agent Model of the Russian Federation Spatial Development
In this paper we present the agent-based model of the Russian Federation spatial development as a tool for simulation of business projects in key industries and their impact on the regional economy. The model interface is used to define the region and industries for each project, as well as structure of its co-financing by organizations, federal and regional budget. Within the algorithm of the project realization the plan of investment supplies is determined, supplementary processes of the organization are simulated and reflected in the accounting. Within the computational experiment results of business projects realization in various regions were studied. The experimental program includes four regions from different federal districts. In each region, three key industries were selected according to perspective economic specializations defined in the Strategy of the Russian Federation spatial development. The results show significant increase in the output, property and equipment of the organizations, and also in employment and income of population in the selected regions.
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