全球集装箱航运运营商的战略及其对物流供应链的影响

A. Grzelakowski
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Lack of ability to adapt the supply side to changes occurring on the demand side of the container market has brought numerous serious fi nancial and economic consequences which not only aff ected the global container shipping operators but also hit other parties involved in the logistics supply chains spread within the global logistics space created in the contemporary global economy. Purpose: The main objective of this paper is to evaluate the dynamics of global maritime container market, especially its demand side which fl uctuates vigorously, and assess the short and medium term strategies applied by the powerful shipping operators in terms of their multi-channel impact on the other parties of the global intermodal supply chain and the global logistics system as a whole. Methodology: The traditional method of maritime freight analysis was applied based on container freight and charter indices, such as SCFI or HFI. They refl ect the amplitude of freight rate per TEU fl uctuations in a certain period of time (e.g. quarter, week, etc.) which is congruent with the eff ective demand changes confronted with the existing potential supply. Growth of tonnage capacity, determined by the global container shipping operators’ strategies aimed for further development and better utilization of the existing transport potential of container fl eet acting on the very competitive global freight market, has been assessed in terms of logistics eff iciency and its eff ects have been estimated within the global value chain. 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引用次数: 2

摘要

2008-2009年,世界经济和金融危机严重冲击了全球经济,特别是贸易和运输部门,也对全球海上集装箱运输产生了重大影响。这一战略性的海上运输分行业被视为全球物流供应链顺利发展的推动力和加速全球化进程的支柱。然而,自2010年以来,全球集装箱货运市场的有效需求和潜在供给一直处于不平衡状态,这在很大程度上是由于集装箱运营商错误的吨位投资策略造成的。供给侧缺乏适应集装箱市场需求侧变化的能力已经带来了许多严重的金融和经济后果,这些后果不仅影响了全球集装箱航运运营商,也影响了在当代全球经济中创造的全球物流空间内传播的物流供应链的其他参与方。目的:本文的主要目的是评估全球海运集装箱市场的动态,特别是其波动剧烈的需求侧,并根据其对全球多式联运供应链和整个全球物流系统的多渠道影响来评估强大的航运运营商所采用的短期和中期战略。方法:传统的海运运费分析方法是基于集装箱运费和租船指数,如SCFI或HFI。它反映了一定时期内(如季度、周等)每标箱运价波动的幅度,与现有潜在供应面临的有效需求变化相一致。吨位运力的增长是由全球集装箱航运运营商的战略决定的,这些战略旨在进一步发展和更好地利用集装箱船队在竞争激烈的全球货运市场上的现有运输潜力,已经在物流效率方面进行了评估,并在全球价值链中估计了其影响。研究结果:所得结果表明:1/全球海上集装箱运输市场仍然严重不平衡,并受到需求波动的高度动态影响,因此运费;2/海上全球集装箱运营商在运营和投资领域的应用战略未能取得预期效果,导致海上集装箱运输部门的资本强劲横向整合和全球物流供应链内的垂直整合。3/这种情况破坏了全球供应链的运作,从而破坏了全球TSL部门的运作,阻碍了货代和托运人在中期和短期的基础上做出理性的决定,4/这种相对长期的情况(从2010年开始)动摇了全球运输和物流秩序的基础。这种情况对海上集装箱运输市场和全球集装箱经营者的战略决策的受益者是全球经济以及海运集装箱进口货物的消费者。原创性/价值:作者提出的方法是在制定和实施海运集装箱运营商的运营和投资战略的背景下分析货运市场运营的有效性,并试图评估此类决策在全球物流供应链中的影响,迄今为止尚未成为研究的主题。获得的初步结果需要进一步详细分析,提供了重要的价值,理论(丰富市场理论)和实践(关于采取理性决策和有效管理全球供应链)。
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GLOBAL CONTAINER SHIPPING OPERATORS’ STRATEGIES AND THEIR IMPACT ON LOGISTICS SUPPLY CHAINS
The world economic and fi nancial crisis that seriously hit the global economy and especially its trade and transport sectors in the years 2008–2009 also aff ected with signifi cant force the global maritime container transport. This strategic maritime transport subsector is regarded as a driving force of smooth development of the global logistics supply chains and the backbone accelerating globalization processes. However, since 2010 eff ective demand and potential supply on the global container freight market are in constant state of disequilibrium, caused to a large extend by wrong tonnage investment strategies of container operators. Lack of ability to adapt the supply side to changes occurring on the demand side of the container market has brought numerous serious fi nancial and economic consequences which not only aff ected the global container shipping operators but also hit other parties involved in the logistics supply chains spread within the global logistics space created in the contemporary global economy. Purpose: The main objective of this paper is to evaluate the dynamics of global maritime container market, especially its demand side which fl uctuates vigorously, and assess the short and medium term strategies applied by the powerful shipping operators in terms of their multi-channel impact on the other parties of the global intermodal supply chain and the global logistics system as a whole. Methodology: The traditional method of maritime freight analysis was applied based on container freight and charter indices, such as SCFI or HFI. They refl ect the amplitude of freight rate per TEU fl uctuations in a certain period of time (e.g. quarter, week, etc.) which is congruent with the eff ective demand changes confronted with the existing potential supply. Growth of tonnage capacity, determined by the global container shipping operators’ strategies aimed for further development and better utilization of the existing transport potential of container fl eet acting on the very competitive global freight market, has been assessed in terms of logistics eff iciency and its eff ects have been estimated within the global value chain. Findings: The obtained results indicate that: 1/ global maritime container transport market is still signifi cantly unbalanced and subject to high dynamics of demand fl uctuations, and consequently freight rates, 2/ applied strategies of maritime global container operators in the operational and investment area fail to bring intended results, leading to strong capital horizontal integration in the sector of maritime container transport and vertical integration within the global logistic supply chains, 3/ the situation destabilizes the operations of global supply chains and consequently the global TSL sector, preventing forwarders and shippers from taking rational decisions on a medium and short term basis, 4/ this relatively long-standing situation (from 2010) shakes the foundations of 35 GLOBAL CONTAINER SHIPPING Andrzej Grzelakowski transport and logistics order worldwide, 5/ the benefi ciary of this situation on the market of maritime container transport and strategic decisions of global container operators is global economy as well as consumers of goods imported by sea in containers. Originality/value: The approach proposed by the author regarding the analysis of the eff ectiveness of freight market operations in the context of developed and implemented operational and investment strategies of maritime container operators with an attempt to assess the eff ects of such decisions within global logistic supply chains has not been the subject of research until now. The obtained initial results which require further detailed analysis, provide signifi cant values, both theoretical (enrich the market theory) and practical (as regards taking rational decisions and eff ective management of global supply chain).
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