基于地理条件的海啸疏散可达性评价——以德岛县沿海地区为例

Koichi Tanaka, Nobuhiko Komaki, Emi Kainuma
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摘要

研究的目的是根据沿海几何形状、中高层建筑的位置、道路网络、人口分布等地理条件,定量测量海啸疏散的可达性。我们测量了距离测量点的道路距离,作为“地理疏散指数”,距离比德岛沿海地区海啸估计高度高的地方或建筑物约50米。外围城郊大部分沿海低洼土地由于海拔较高的地方和中高层建筑较少,通达性较低。另一方面,在没有海岸的地区,可达性相对较高,海啸的估计高度非常高。由于大部分地区在低洼的沿海地区海拔相对较高,居民可以到达比海啸估计高度更高的地方。结果表明,外围郊区沿海低洼地区的情况比内陆沿海地区更为严重。
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Accessibility evaluation of evacuation from tsunami on the basis of geographical condition: a case study of coastal area in Tokushima Prefecture: −徳島県沿岸部を事例として-
The purpose of study is to measure accessibility to evacuate from tsunami quantitatively on the basis of geographical conditions such as coastal geometry, location of mid-to-high-rise buildings, road network, population distribution, and so on. We measured road distance from measurement points as “Geo-Evacuatability index” with spacing of approximately 50 meters to higher places or buildings than an estimated height of tsunami in coastal area in Tokushima Prefecture. An accessibility is low in most of low-lying coastal land in peripheral suburban area because higher elevation places and mid-to-high-rise buildings are not much existing. On the other hand, an accessibility is relatively high in the area with ria coast where an estimated height of tsunami is critically high. Since most of the area is relatively high in elevation in low-lying coastal land, it is accessible for residents to higher places than estimated height of tsunami. The result shows that situation is more critical in the low-lying coastal land of peripheral suburbs than that of the ria coastal area.
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