移民腹地城市在阿尔泰边疆区

N. Mkrtchyan, A. Gerasimov
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摘要

对俄罗斯区域内移徙的研究由于时间序列短和公布的数据有限而变得复杂,特别是在城市一级。公开可用的数据只允许对迁移参数进行一般评估,例如迁移周转率、净迁移特征等。例如,关于城市间人口流动的更完整的数据,可应特别要求从区域统计处获得。基于2014-2018年阿尔泰边疆区区域内移民数据,对城市移民腹地进行了划分,并揭示了城市移民腹地的一些特征。根据阿尔泰边疆区的城市和农村住区,计算了该地区10个城市地区的移徙流动情况。根据一个特定城市区域的最大移民流动率,将一个定居点归因于该地区的腹地。腹地以两种方式划分,即考虑到巴瑙尔的首都和不考虑巴瑙尔的首都。通过这种方式,我们评估了在区域内移民联系系统中占主导地位的区域首都移民的排除如何影响定居居民的移民偏好。研究结果表明,巴瑙尔腹地包括边疆区一半以上的领土,约占该地区人口的60%。其他城市的腹地与其中心人口成正比,也受其相对于地区首府的位置的影响。如果不考虑巴尔瑙尔,鲁布佐夫斯克和斯拉夫哥罗德等几个城市的影响力显著扩大,而该地区第二大城市比斯克的腹地仅略有变化。除了城市规模的重要性外,副中心的相互配置及其相对于区域中心的位置在区域内迁移中也起着至关重要的作用。该研究对阿尔泰边疆区定居间迁移的主要方向有了初步认识。
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MIGRATION HINTERLANDS OF CITIES IN THE ALTAI KRAI
The study of intraregional migration in Russia is complicated by short time series and a limited set of published data, particularly at the municipal level. The publicly available data allow only general evaluation of migration parameters, e. g. the migration turnover, the net migration features, etc. More complete data, for example, on movements between municipalities, could be obtained from the regional statistical offices on special requests. Based on such data on intraregional migration in the Altai Krai in 2014-2018, the hinterlands of the urban okrugs were identified, and some characteristics of those hinterlands were revealed.The migration turnover with ten urban okrugs of the region was calculated for urban and rural settlements of the Altai Krai. A settlement was attributed to the hinterland of a particular urban okrug basing on the maxi-mum migration turnover with it. The hinterlands were delimited in two ways, i.e. with and without considering the capital city of Barnaul. By this we evaluated how the exclusion of migration to/from the regional capital, which dominates the system of intraregional migration links, affects the migration preferences of settlement residents.The results of the study showed that the Barnaul hinterland includes more than half of the Krai’s territory with approximately 60% of the region’s population. The hinterlands of other cities are proportional to the population of their centers and are also influenced by their location in relation to the regional capital. Without considering Barnaul, several cities, such as Rubtsovsk and Slavgorod considerably expand their influence, while the hinterland of Biysk, the second-largest city in the region, changed only slightly. Despite the importance of the size of cities, the mutual disposition of subcenters and their location in relation to the regional center play a critical role in the intraregional migration. The study gives an idea of principal directions of inter-settlement migration in the Altai Krai.
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