第一部分单一悖论:关于人机合作的未来和战争本身的潜在破坏

Ben Ethan Zweibelson
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引用次数: 1

摘要

摘要:历史上,技术创新作为实现明确的政治或社会目标的新工具或手段被应用于战争和安全事务中。人工智能的崛起预示着一条全新的、未知的前进道路,可能与以往的军备竞赛和战争进步(包括核武器和量子技术)完全不同。本文介绍了单例模型作为未来人工智能实体的概念,它可以为整个组织甚至社会承担中心决策。反过来,这为安全事务、外交政策和军事组织提出了所谓的“单一悖论”。人工智能可能会为所有人类文明带来一个没有战争和冲突的革命性新世界,也可能会引发一场灾难性的新战争,在那些拥有功能性单一实体的人与那些试图开发单一实体的人之间,伴随着无数其他风险、机遇和紧急后果。
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PART I The Singleton Paradox: On the Future of Human-Machine Teaming and Potential Disruption of War Itself
Abstract:Technological innovation has historically been applied in war and security affairs as a new tool or means to accomplish clear political or societal goals. The rise of artificial intelligence posits a new, uncharted way forward that may be entirely unlike previous arms races and advancements in warfare, including nuclear weapons and quantum technology. This article introduces the concept of a singleton as a future artificial intelligent entity that could assume central decision making for entire organizations and even societies. In turn, this presents what is termed a "singleton paradox" for security affairs, foreign policy, and military organizations. An AI singleton could usher in a revolutionary new world free of war and conflict for all of human civilization or trigger a catastrophic new war between those with a functioning singleton entity against those attempting to develop one, along with myriad other risks, opportunities, and emergent consequences.
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