基于随机森林梯度增强机和深度学习的股票价格预测方法

Lokesh Kumar Shrivastav, Ravinder Kumar
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引用次数: 4

摘要

由于缺乏有效的大数据分析工具和技术,高频股票市场数据的随机时间序列分析对分析师来说是一项非常具有挑战性的任务。这为开发人员和研究人员开发基于智能和机器学习的数据分析工具和技术打开了机会之门。本文提出了一种基于三种最著名的机器学习技术的股票市场数据预测集成方法。股票市场数据集的原始数据大小为39364 KB,包含所有属性,处理后的数据大小为11826 KB,拥有872435个实例。提出的工作实现了一个由深度学习、梯度增强机(GBM)和分布式随机森林数据分析技术组成的集成模型。将集成模型的性能结果与深度学习、梯度增强机(Gradient Boosting Machine, GBM)和随机森林等单独的方法进行了比较。集成模型性能较好,最高精度为0.99,最小误差(RMSE)为0.1。
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An Ensemble of Random Forest Gradient Boosting Machine and Deep Learning Methods for Stock Price Prediction
Stochastic time series analysis of high-frequency stock market data is a very challenging task for the analysts due to the lack availability of efficient tool and techniques for big data analytics. This has opened the door of opportunities for the developer and researcher to develop intelligent and machine learning based tools and techniques for data analytics. This paper proposed an ensemble for stock market data prediction using three most prominent machine learning based techniques. The stock market dataset with raw data size of 39364 KB with all attributes and processed data size of 11826 KB having 872435 instances. The proposed work implements an ensemble model comprises of Deep Learning, Gradient Boosting Machine (GBM) and distributed Random Forest techniques of data analytics. The performance results of the ensemble model are compared with each of the individual methods i.e. deep learning, Gradient Boosting Machine (GBM) and Random Forest. The ensemble model performs better and achieves the highest accuracy of 0.99 and lowest error (RMSE) of 0.1.
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