基于权衡随机博弈的多风电场竞价策略

Shiyuan He, Shunxian Yu, Luhao Wang, Yanfang Liu, Xiuhan Lin, Wenjing Han
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文研究了不同主体下多个风电场的随机能源竞价问题。考虑到风电场之间的竞争关系,引入基于古诺博弈的定价函数来描述日前电力市场中风电场的动态市场价格和能源投标量。在此基础上,建立了风电机组输出功率的随机模型,并采用条件风险值(CVaR)方法来衡量不确定条件下的能源投标成本。特别是在目标函数中加入了基于CVaR的风险项,以获得期望利润与财务风险之间的权衡投标决策。通过实例分析,验证了基于古诺随机对策的竞价策略的有效性和可行性。
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Trade-off Stochastic Game Based Bidding Strategy for Multiple Wind Farms
This paper addresses a stochastic energy bidding problem for multiple wind farms belonging to different entities. Considering competitive relationship among wind farms, a Cournot game based pricing function is introduced to describe dynamic market prices and the amount of energy bids from wind farms in day-ahead (DA) electricity market. Furthermore, the output power of wind power generations is modeled by stochastic scenarios and the Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) method is applied to measure the cost of energy bids under uncertainty. Especially, a CVaR based risk term is added into the objective function to obtain trade-off bidding decisions between expected profits and financial risks. By the case study, the effectiveness and feasibility of the proposed Cournot stochastic game based bidding strategy are verified.
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