{"title":"澳洲央行的经济逻辑有问题吗?*","authors":"Eduardo Pol","doi":"10.1111/1759-3441.12289","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>Over the last quinquennium, low wage growth has been a distinguishing feature of the Australian economy preventing the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to achieve its inflation target. Notwithstanding the current record low cash rate, wage growth remains low. This paper casts doubts about the economic logic of the RBA in relation to the behaviour of wages. We argue that an unlimited supply of labour leads to a vertical Phillips curve <i>in the short-run</i>, and therefore, significant wage growth cannot be expected to happen irrespective of how low the cash rate is.</p>","PeriodicalId":45208,"journal":{"name":"Economic Papers","volume":"39 3","pages":"259-269"},"PeriodicalIF":0.9000,"publicationDate":"2020-06-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1111/1759-3441.12289","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Is the RBA Economic Logic Faulty?*\",\"authors\":\"Eduardo Pol\",\"doi\":\"10.1111/1759-3441.12289\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p>Over the last quinquennium, low wage growth has been a distinguishing feature of the Australian economy preventing the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to achieve its inflation target. Notwithstanding the current record low cash rate, wage growth remains low. This paper casts doubts about the economic logic of the RBA in relation to the behaviour of wages. We argue that an unlimited supply of labour leads to a vertical Phillips curve <i>in the short-run</i>, and therefore, significant wage growth cannot be expected to happen irrespective of how low the cash rate is.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":45208,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Economic Papers\",\"volume\":\"39 3\",\"pages\":\"259-269\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.9000,\"publicationDate\":\"2020-06-28\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1111/1759-3441.12289\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Economic Papers\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/1759-3441.12289\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"ECONOMICS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Economic Papers","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/1759-3441.12289","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
Over the last quinquennium, low wage growth has been a distinguishing feature of the Australian economy preventing the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to achieve its inflation target. Notwithstanding the current record low cash rate, wage growth remains low. This paper casts doubts about the economic logic of the RBA in relation to the behaviour of wages. We argue that an unlimited supply of labour leads to a vertical Phillips curve in the short-run, and therefore, significant wage growth cannot be expected to happen irrespective of how low the cash rate is.
期刊介绍:
Economic Papers is one of two journals published by the Economics Society of Australia. The journal features a balance of high quality research in applied economics and economic policy analysis which distinguishes it from other Australian journals. The intended audience is the broad range of economists working in business, government and academic communities within Australia and internationally who are interested in economic issues related to Australia and the Asia-Pacific region. Contributions are sought from economists working in these areas and should be written to be accessible to a wide section of our readership. All contributions are refereed.