{"title":"《长记忆简史:赫斯特、曼德布洛和ARFIMA之路》","authors":"T. Graves, R. Gramacy, N. Watkins, C. Franzke","doi":"10.20944/PREPRINTS201705.0194.V1","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Long memory plays an important role in many fields by determining the behaviour and predictability of systems; for instance, climate, hydrology, finance, networks and DNA sequencing. In particular, it is important to test if a process is exhibiting long memory since that impacts the accuracy and confidence with which one may predict future events on the basis of a small amount of historical data. A major force in the development and study of long memory was the late Benoit B. Mandelbrot. Here we discuss the original motivation of the development of long memory and Mandelbrot's influence on this fascinating field. We will also elucidate the sometimes contrasting approaches to long memory in different scientific communities","PeriodicalId":413623,"journal":{"name":"arXiv: Other Statistics","volume":"41 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2017-05-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"74","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"A Brief History of Long Memory: Hurst, Mandelbrot and the Road to ARFIMA\",\"authors\":\"T. Graves, R. Gramacy, N. Watkins, C. Franzke\",\"doi\":\"10.20944/PREPRINTS201705.0194.V1\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Long memory plays an important role in many fields by determining the behaviour and predictability of systems; for instance, climate, hydrology, finance, networks and DNA sequencing. In particular, it is important to test if a process is exhibiting long memory since that impacts the accuracy and confidence with which one may predict future events on the basis of a small amount of historical data. A major force in the development and study of long memory was the late Benoit B. Mandelbrot. Here we discuss the original motivation of the development of long memory and Mandelbrot's influence on this fascinating field. We will also elucidate the sometimes contrasting approaches to long memory in different scientific communities\",\"PeriodicalId\":413623,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"arXiv: Other Statistics\",\"volume\":\"41 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2017-05-26\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"74\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"arXiv: Other Statistics\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.20944/PREPRINTS201705.0194.V1\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"arXiv: Other Statistics","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.20944/PREPRINTS201705.0194.V1","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 74
摘要
长记忆通过决定系统的行为和可预测性在许多领域发挥着重要作用;例如,气候、水文、金融、网络和DNA测序。特别是,测试一个过程是否表现出长记忆是很重要的,因为它会影响人们在少量历史数据的基础上预测未来事件的准确性和信心。发展和研究长记忆的主要力量是已故的Benoit B. Mandelbrot。在这里,我们讨论长记忆发展的原始动机和曼德布洛特对这个迷人领域的影响。我们还将阐明在不同的科学团体中,有时会有不同的方法来研究长记忆
A Brief History of Long Memory: Hurst, Mandelbrot and the Road to ARFIMA
Long memory plays an important role in many fields by determining the behaviour and predictability of systems; for instance, climate, hydrology, finance, networks and DNA sequencing. In particular, it is important to test if a process is exhibiting long memory since that impacts the accuracy and confidence with which one may predict future events on the basis of a small amount of historical data. A major force in the development and study of long memory was the late Benoit B. Mandelbrot. Here we discuss the original motivation of the development of long memory and Mandelbrot's influence on this fascinating field. We will also elucidate the sometimes contrasting approaches to long memory in different scientific communities