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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文在普京2016年宣布的大欧亚空间形成构想的框架内,分析了西伯利亚宏观地区的现状、潜在利益和机遇。分析主要从政治地理、地缘战略、地缘经济和制度四个方面展开。首先是大欧亚概念的不定性。在它的解释中,西伯利亚占据了半边缘位置,因为大欧亚话语的重点放在国际巩固上,主要是在中亚地区。在一体化进程的背景下,主要障碍之一是形成大欧亚大陆核心的国家的外交政策战略的显著差异,以及西伯利亚的地缘政治利益,这主要在于一方面避免将自己定位为出口资源地区,另一方面避免与大欧亚大陆的其他国家争夺销售市场,这使人们对这一概念的巩固作用产生了怀疑。然而,由于经济一体化的发展,西伯利亚的地缘经济作用可以得到改善。对西伯利亚联邦区出口的再分配和可运输性水平的分析表明,在向经济一体化程度高的国家出口时,每单位出口重量的价值组成部分增加。第四个方面是大欧亚倡议缺乏制度化,因此无法有效推进,西伯利亚地区尤其如此。本文提出了改进这方面的可能方向。
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Siberia in Conception of Greater Eurasia
The article analyzes the current state, potential benefits and opportunities for the Siberian macro-region within the framework of the concept of the formation of the space of Greater Eurasia announced by V.V. Putin in 2016. The analysis has been carried out on 4 main aspects – political-geographical, geostrategic, geo-economic, and institutional ones. The first one lies in amorphousness of the concept of Greater Eurasia. In its interpretations Siberia occupies a semi-peripheral place since the emphasis of the Greater Eurasian discourse is placed on international consolidation, primarily in the Central Asian region. In the context of integration processes one of the main obstacles is a significant differentiation of foreign policy strategies of the states forming the core of Greater Eurasia, and geopolitical interests of Siberia, which primarily consist in avoiding positioning itself as an export-resource region on the one hand, and competing for sales markets with other countries of Greater Eurasia on the other hand, which casts doubt on the consolidating role of this concept. Nevertheless, the geoeconomic role of Siberia can be improved due to the development of economic integration. The analysis of the level of redistribution and transportability of exports of the Siberian Federal District showed that it is the increased value component per unit of export weight that is observed in exports to countries with a high degree of economic integration. The fourth aspect is the lack of institutionalization of the Greater Eurasia initiative, as a result of which it cannot be effectively promoted, it is especially true about Siberian regions. Possible directions for improving this aspect have been proposed in the article.
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