对商业公司的模拟

C. P. Bonini
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引用次数: 5

摘要

本文描述了一个假想企业的仿真模型。该模型的构建不仅包括成本、利润、销售额、生产单位等会计和经济因素,还包括心理和行为概念。企业中的个体有期望水平,会感受到压力,并根据行为理论做出反应。该模型的目的是研究信息因素和组织因素对企业决策的影响。我们对这些变量的了解有限,如:延迟信息的影响,公司内部信息不同分布的影响,不同程度的集中或分散的影响,等等。要回答这些问题,需要一个全面的模型,例如所提出的模型。八个具体的假设涉及公司的组织和信息系统的变化,制定和测试使用一个析因实验设计。实验结果证明了该模型作为一种研究工具的有效性。
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A simulation of a business firm
This paper describes a simulation model of a hypothetical business firm. The model was constructed to include not only the accounting and economic factors of costs, profits, sales, units produced, etc., but also psychological and behavioral concepts. Individuals in the firm have aspiration levels, feel pressure, and react in accordance with behavioral theory. The purpose of the model is to study the effects of informational and organizational factors upon the decisions of a business firm. We have had limited knowledge of such variables as: the effects of tardy information, the effects of different distributions of information within the firm, the effects of differing degrees of centralization or decentralization, etc. A comprehensive model, such as the one proposed, is necessary to answer such questions. Eight specific hypotheses involving changes in the organization and information system of the firm were formulated and tested using a factorial experimental design. The results of this experiment demonstrate the usefulness of this model as a research tool.
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