农产品与干散货航运市场之间的市场互动

IF 3.3 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Asian Journal of Shipping and Logistics Pub Date : 2021-03-01 DOI:10.1016/j.ajsl.2020.07.003
Nektarios A. Michail , Kostis D. Melas
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引用次数: 14

摘要

我们使用2010年至2019年的每周数据集和向量误差校正方法,调查并量化农产品与海运运费之间的关系。研究结果首先支持了船级社高度相互关联的观点,其次证实了商品价格对大多数船级社的运费会产生强烈影响。对于未对运费产生影响的商品,存在替代效应的可能性。此外,研究结果表明,这些产品交易的市场可能是未来运费变动的重要决定因素。这些发现对于关心其产品运输成本以及如何降低运输成本的农业企业尤其有用。
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Market interactions between agricultural commodities and the dry bulk shipping market

We investigate and quantify the relationship between agricultural commodities and ocean-going freight rates, using a weekly dataset from 2010 to 2019 and a Vector Error Correction Methodology. The results are firstly supportive of the view that vessel classes are highly interconnected, and secondly confirm that commodity prices can have a strong impact on freight rates across most vessel classes. For commodities in which no impact is registered on freight rates, the possibility of substitution effects exists. Furthermore, the results indicate that the markets in which these products trade can be a significant determinant of future freight rate movements. These findings can be particularly useful for agricultural businesses that are concerned with the transportation cost of their products and the ways that the latter can be mitigated.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
7.80
自引率
6.50%
发文量
23
审稿时长
92 days
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