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Advancing freight demand prediction: Unified destination and mode choice models in extra-urban transportation 推进货运需求预测:城市外运输的统一目的地和模式选择模型
IF 3.7 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ajsl.2025.09.002
Shahriar Afandizadeh , Amin Akhoundi , Hamid Mirzahossein
Freight transportation modeling represents the economic demand for moving goods across spatial networks. Traditional models often treat transportation mode and destination choice as separate processes. This paper introduces an innovative framework that synthesizes a joint choice structure with a novel, supply-chain-based methodology, an approach underutilized in freight modeling. The core methodological innovation is the use of national input-output accounts to identify specific consumer industries, allowing for a more behaviorally-grounded analysis of destination attractiveness for different commodity groups. Using U.S. Commodity Flow Survey (CFS) data, two multinomial logit models were developed: one for destination choice and another for joint destination-mode choice, across three goods categories. This study also provides a direct empirical comparison in the freight context, with results revealing that the integrated model improves prediction accuracy by approximately 7 % compared to destination-only models. The findings confirm the value of this synthesized approach, which provides a more comprehensive and behaviorally sound tool for freight demand estimation.
货运模型代表了跨空间网络运输货物的经济需求。传统模型通常将运输方式和目的地选择视为两个独立的过程。本文介绍了一种创新的框架,该框架将联合选择结构与一种新颖的、基于供应链的方法相结合,这种方法在货运建模中未得到充分利用。方法上的核心创新是使用国家投入产出核算来确定具体的消费行业,从而对不同商品群体的目的地吸引力进行更基于行为的分析。利用美国商品流量调查(CFS)数据,开发了两个多项逻辑模型:一个用于目的地选择,另一个用于联合目的地模式选择,涉及三种商品类别。本研究还提供了货运背景下的直接实证比较,结果表明,与仅考虑目的地的模型相比,综合模型的预测精度提高了约7 %。研究结果证实了这种综合方法的价值,它为货运需求估计提供了一种更全面、行为更合理的工具。
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引用次数: 0
Digital logistics anomaly management systems (DLAMS): A bibliometric analysis and research framework 数字物流异常管理系统:一个文献计量分析与研究框架
IF 3.7 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ajsl.2025.09.003
Habibi Palippui , Daniel Mohammad Rosyid , Silvianita , Juswan Sade
Digital Logistics Anomaly Management Systems (DLAMS) have become a critical infrastructure in modern supply chain operations, enabling the real-time monitoring and management of anomalies through the integration of technologies such as the Internet of Things (IoT), machine learning, and big data analytics. This paper presents a structured and systematic bibliometric analysis to trace the evolution of DLAMS research by examining 89 Scopus-indexed articles published between 2009 and 2023. Utilizing VOSviewer and Publish or Perish tools, this study identified eight major thematic clusters, 142 topic interconnections, and the growing importance of intelligent systems in anomaly detection. The findings reveal a significant shift from traditional logistics monitoring to data-driven and technologically advanced frameworks, with recent attention to intrusion detection, medical logistics applications, and cross-disciplinary integration. The analysis also uncovered key research gaps, particularly in real-world implementation and sector-specific applications, while proposing a research framework that connects technical progress with broader academic and policy implications. This study contributes to mapping the intellectual landscape of DLAMS and shapes future research directions in digital logistics anomaly management.
数字物流异常管理系统(drams)已成为现代供应链运营的关键基础设施,通过物联网(IoT)、机器学习和大数据分析等技术的集成,实现对异常的实时监控和管理。本文通过对2009年至2023年间发表的89篇以scopus为索引的论文进行结构化和系统的文献计量分析,以追踪DLAMS研究的演变。利用VOSviewer和Publish or Perish工具,本研究确定了8个主要的主题集群,142个主题互连,以及智能系统在异常检测中的重要性日益增加。调查结果显示,从传统的物流监控到数据驱动和技术先进框架的重大转变,最近关注入侵检测、医疗物流应用和跨学科整合。该分析还揭示了关键的研究差距,特别是在现实世界的实施和特定部门的应用方面,同时提出了一个将技术进步与更广泛的学术和政策影响联系起来的研究框架。本研究有助于绘制数字物流异常管理的知识版图,并塑造未来数字物流异常管理的研究方向。
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引用次数: 0
Block chain ready port terminal operations using distributed ledger 区块链就绪港口终端操作使用分布式账本
IF 3.7 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ajsl.2025.07.001
David King Boison , Musah Osumanu Doumbia , Ahmed Antwi-Boampong , Frank Senyo Loglo , Ebenezer Malcalm
This study explores the application of blockchain (BC) technology in enhancing terminal operations at West African seaports, with a specific focus on Tema Port in Ghana. The purpose is to address inefficiencies in cargo processing, traceability, and data integrity that often impede port performance. Using a multi-layered qualitative approach, including observation and value stream mapping, the study examines current operational challenges at Tema Port and proposes a BC adoption model tailored to ship operations, quay transfers, yard management, container freight stations, and receipt/delivery processes. The findings suggest that BC technology significantly improves transparency, operational efficiency, and data security across port processes, offering a unified ledger system accessible to all stakeholders. Based on these findings, the study recommends a phased BC implementation, beginning with targeted pilot programs to mitigate technological and infrastructural constraints common in developing regions. Implications for port managers, policymakers, and academics underscore BC’s potential to reduce operational costs, enhance real-time visibility, and improve compliance in port logistics. This study is limited by its focus on terminal operations at a single port; future research could explore BC’s impact on other areas of the maritime supply chain across multiple ports. The originality of this study lies in its contextualized BC model for West African ports, addressing specific challenges faced by developing regions and offering a foundational framework for future BC applications in logistics.
本研究探讨了区块链(BC)技术在西非海港码头运营中的应用,并特别关注加纳的Tema港。目的是解决货物处理、可追溯性和数据完整性方面的低效率问题,这些问题通常会阻碍港口的性能。该研究采用多层定性方法,包括观察和价值流映射,研究了Tema港当前的运营挑战,并提出了针对船舶运营、码头转运、堆场管理、集装箱货运站和接收/交付流程量身定制的BC采用模型。研究结果表明,BC技术显著提高了港口流程的透明度、运营效率和数据安全性,为所有利益相关者提供了一个统一的分类账系统。根据这些发现,该研究建议分阶段实施BC,从有针对性的试点项目开始,以缓解发展中地区常见的技术和基础设施限制。对港口管理者、政策制定者和学者的影响强调了BC在降低运营成本、提高实时可视性和改善港口物流合规性方面的潜力。这项研究的局限性在于它只关注单个港口的终端操作;未来的研究可以探索不列颠哥伦比亚省对跨多个港口的海上供应链的其他领域的影响。本研究的独创性在于其针对西非港口的情境化BC模型,解决了发展中地区面临的具体挑战,并为未来BC在物流中的应用提供了基础框架。
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引用次数: 0
Effect of logistics performance on transport environmental quality: Comparative insight from Sub-Saharan Africa and OECD markets 物流绩效对运输环境质量的影响:来自撒哈拉以南非洲和经合组织市场的比较见解
IF 3.7 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ajsl.2025.10.001
Francis Kamewor Tetteh , Kwame Owusu Kwateng , Tesfalidet Tukue , John Mensah , Derrick Delali Atiase
The logistics industry is among the top threats to the sustainability despite its valuable contribution to trade and growth. Despite previous efforts on the impact of logistics performance (LP), its role in driving sustainability within the transport sector is less discussed. Also, while it is generally anticipated that the impact of LP may vary depending on the levels of economic development, there has been no empirical study in this regard. This study therefore attempts to bridge these gaps by comparing between less developed economies; Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) and developed economies (OECD). Panel dataset between 2007 and 2018 for 24 SSA countries and 34 OECD economies. The Generalized Method of Moments estimators were employed and findings showed a positive effect of logistic efficiency on transport sustainability. The findings revealed no significant variation within the economies. Even though the gravity of the effect remain higher in SSA, LP was found to worsen transport sustainability in both economies. Additionally, we noted only the timeliness of logistics service out of the six (6) sub-dimensions of LP significantly increases CO2 from transport. The findings offers a compelling insight which contradicts conventional wisdom that situations in advanced economies are always highly better. Practically, the findings implies that, regardless of the level of development in the economy, supply chain or logistics activities continue to be far from de-carbonization in both economies. Governments must therefore double efforts towards decarbonizing of modern supply chains though green logistics, if the Net Zero Emission target of 2025 is to be achieved.
尽管物流业对贸易和增长做出了宝贵贡献,但它仍是可持续发展的最大威胁之一。尽管之前对物流绩效(LP)的影响进行了努力,但其在推动运输部门可持续性方面的作用却很少被讨论。此外,虽然普遍预期低生产率的影响可能因经济发展水平而异,但在这方面尚无实证研究。因此,本研究试图通过比较欠发达经济体来弥合这些差距;撒哈拉以南非洲(SSA)和发达经济体(OECD)。2007年至2018年,24个SSA国家和34个经合组织经济体的面板数据集。采用广义矩量估计方法,结果表明物流效率对运输可持续性有积极影响。调查结果显示,各经济体内部没有显著差异。尽管这种影响的严重性在SSA中仍然较高,但研究发现,低成本使两个经济体的交通可持续性恶化。此外,我们注意到,在LP的六个子维度中,只有物流服务的及时性显著增加了运输产生的二氧化碳。这些发现提供了一个令人信服的洞见,与传统观念——发达经济体的情况总是好得多——相矛盾。实际上,研究结果表明,无论经济发展水平如何,这两个经济体的供应链或物流活动仍远未实现脱碳。因此,如果要实现2025年的净零排放目标,各国政府必须加倍努力,通过绿色物流实现现代供应链的脱碳。
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引用次数: 0
Logistics scale as trade catalyst: Principal component analysis of China-Korea bilateral trade drivers 物流规模作为贸易催化剂:中韩双边贸易驱动因素的主成分分析
IF 3.7 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ajsl.2025.09.001
Yue Zhang , Nianjie Shang , Yanting Liu , Chao Zhang , Lu Jin
This study conducts an empirical analysis of the driving factors and development trends of China-Korea bilateral trade from the perspective of logistics, using IBM SPSS Statistics 27 for data processing and modeling. Based on annual panel data from 2013 to 2022, a multidimensional dataset of 18 core economic indicators was constructed, encompassing variables such as import and export volumes, logistics scale, enterprise expenditures, labor structure, exchange rates, and investment. To reduce dimensionality and address multicollinearity, a correlation analysis was first conducted to identify 9 key variables with strong explanatory power. Principal Component Analysis was then applied, extracting five principal components that effectively captured the underlying structure of the dataset. These components were used as independent variables in a principal component regression model to predict the China-Korea bilateral trade volume. Among them, the component representing Korea’s logistics industry scale and transportation efficiency (PC1) had the most significant positive impact on trade, highlighting the critical role of logistics in enhancing trade intensity and sustaining bilateral growth. The regression model exhibited strong goodness-of-fit and low prediction errors, through structural modeling and trend-based forecasting, this study confirms the foundational role of Korea’s logistics system in supporting bilateral trade and provides quantitative insights and policy-oriented recommendations for future China-Korea economic cooperation.
本研究从物流角度对中韩双边贸易的驱动因素和发展趋势进行实证分析,使用IBM SPSS Statistics 27进行数据处理和建模。以2013 - 2022年的年度面板数据为基础,构建了包含进出口规模、物流规模、企业支出、劳动力结构、汇率、投资等18个核心经济指标的多维数据集。为了降低维度和解决多重共线性问题,我们首先进行了相关分析,以确定9个具有强解释力的关键变量。然后应用主成分分析,提取五个主成分,有效地捕获数据集的底层结构。在主成分回归模型中,将这些成分作为自变量来预测中韩双边贸易额。其中,代表韩国物流业规模和运输效率的组成部分(PC1)对贸易的正向影响最为显著,凸显了物流在提高贸易强度和维持双边增长方面的关键作用。回归模型拟合度强,预测误差小,通过结构建模和趋势预测,证实了韩国物流体系在支持双边贸易中的基础性作用,为未来中韩经济合作提供定量见解和政策性建议。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring container port connectivity in Southeast Asia: An integrated assessment approach 探索东南亚集装箱港口连通性:综合评估方法
IF 3.7 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2025-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ajsl.2025.06.003
Ming-Jiu Hwang, Ya-Pei Huang
The Asian region has become the world's manufacturing hub due to its cost advantages, driving the development of container transportation. Recently, enterprises have favored Southeast Asia for its demographic dividend and geographical benefits. The relationships between ports are complex, and their roles are evolving. This study introduces a container port and network analysis model to explore the features of container ports and networks in Southeast Asia. Using actual route and port data, it proposes three performance indicators: Annualized Slot Capacity (ASC), Equipment Utilization, and Terminal Productivity. Social Network Analysis (SNA) and Principal Component Analysis (PCA) are used to develop a suitable port connectivity indicator for Southeast Asia, analyzing changes from 2020 to 2022. The study also categorizes and analyzes the characteristics of the Southeast Asian shipping network based on vessel types and includes Kaohsiung Port in the analysis for a comprehensive comparison. The findings show that the proposed port connectivity ranking differs from the LSCI, which focuses on traffic flow, due to differing indicator aspects. Some ports excel in specific networks based on vessel types. From 2020 to 2022, Vietnamese ports showed steady growth in regional networks, while Kaohsiung Port declined, needing to enhance regional cooperation and competitiveness.
亚洲地区凭借其成本优势成为世界制造业中心,带动了集装箱运输的发展。近年来,东南亚因其人口红利和地理优势而受到企业青睐。港口之间的关系很复杂,它们的角色也在不断演变。本研究引入货柜港口及网络分析模型,探讨东南亚货柜港口及网络的特点。根据实际路由和端口数据,提出了三个性能指标:年度槽位容量(Annualized Slot Capacity, ASC)、设备利用率(Equipment Utilization)和终端生产率(Terminal Productivity)。使用社会网络分析(SNA)和主成分分析(PCA)来制定适合东南亚的港口连通性指标,分析2020年至2022年的变化。本研究亦以船型分类分析东南亚航运网络的特点,并将高雄港纳入分析范围,以作全面比较。研究结果表明,由于指标方面的不同,所提出的港口连通性排名与关注交通流量的LSCI有所不同。一些港口在基于船舶类型的特定网络中表现出色。从2020年到2022年,越南港口在区域网络中稳步增长,而高雄港则有所下降,需要加强区域合作和竞争力。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of the China effect and global financial crisis on Korea’s shipping industry, 2004–2010 中国效应与全球金融危机对韩国航运业的影响(2004-2010
IF 3.7 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2025-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ajsl.2025.06.002
S. June Kim
The Korean shipping industry, which had been striving to recover from the Asian Financial Crisis, underwent significant quantitative expansion between 2004 and 2008. This growth was largely fueled by the so-called “China Effect,” which generated a global shipping boom, during which an average of 20 new ocean-going shipping companies were founded annually in Korea. However, the waning of the China Effect in 2008, compounded by the global financial crisis, triggered a renewed downturn in the industry. Drawing on previously unreleased application data submitted to the Korea Shipowners’ Association, this paper analyzes the dynamics and characteristics of Korea’s shipping boom during the China-led surge and examines the industry's response to the subsequent crisis between 2008 and 2010. The findings shed light on the structural factors behind Korea’s emergence as a global maritime power and provide a historical foundation for future quantitative research on post-2010 developments.
从外汇危机中恢复过来的韩国航运业在2004年至2008年期间经历了大规模的数量扩张。这一增长主要得益于“中国效应”。在此期间,韩国平均每年新成立20家远洋航运公司,掀起了全球航运业的热潮。然而,2008年中国效应减弱,再加上全球金融危机,引发了该行业新一轮的低迷。根据提交给韩国船东协会(Korea Shipowners’Association)的未公开申请数据,本文分析了在中国主导的航运业激增期间韩国航运业繁荣的动态和特征,并考察了该行业对随后2008年至2010年危机的反应。研究结果揭示了韩国崛起为全球海洋大国背后的结构性因素,并为未来对2010年后发展的定量研究提供了历史基础。
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引用次数: 0
Determinants of air cargo volumes within airport networks: Insights from an augmented gravity model with economic distance and geographic threshold effects 机场网络中航空货运量的决定因素:从具有经济距离和地理阈值效应的增强重力模型的见解
IF 3.7 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2025-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ajsl.2025.06.004
Zhen Wu , Po-Lin Lai , Pairach Piboonrungroj , Hao Guo
This study analyzed the determinants of air cargo volumes between airports using an augmented gravity model. Data from 115 airport pairs in China spanning 2009–2020 were utilized. The findings reveal that economic disparity significantly influences air cargo volumes, with greater economic differences between airports' host cities leading to reduced cargo flows. Geographic distance also plays a crucial role and exhibits a nonlinear effect. By extending the panel gravity model into a threshold regression model, this study finds that when the distance is less than 430 km, air cargo connectivity weakens as the distance increases. Beyond 430 km, however, geographic distance positively impacts air cargo volumes, indicating that air cargo frequency increases with longer distances. Population size in airport host cities affects cargo volumes, with departure city populations having a stronger influence. Additionally, airport-specific factors such as available tonnage, flight schedules, and regular shift load factors are significant determinants, with the regular shift load factor being particularly impactful. By incorporating time-varying economic distances and geographic threshold effects, this study improves upon the traditional gravity model, offering a more nuanced approach for analyzing airport cargo flows. The findings provide valuable insights for policymakers, enabling them to better understand the factors influencing air cargo volumes and implement effective strategies to foster sustainable growth in the air cargo industry.
本研究使用增强重力模型分析机场间航空货运量的决定因素。利用了2009-2020年间中国115个机场对的数据。研究结果显示,经济差异显著影响航空货运量,机场所在城市之间的经济差异越大,导致货运量减少。地理距离也起着至关重要的作用,并表现出非线性效应。通过将面板重力模型扩展为阈值回归模型,研究发现当距离小于430 km时,航空货运连通性随着距离的增加而减弱。然而,超过430 公里的地理距离对航空货运量有积极影响,表明航空货运频率随着距离的增加而增加。机场主办城市人口规模影响货运量,其中始发城市人口影响更大。此外,机场特定因素,如可用吨位、航班时刻表和定期轮班负荷因素是重要的决定因素,其中定期轮班负荷因素尤其具有影响力。通过结合时变经济距离和地理阈值效应,本研究改进了传统的重力模型,为分析机场货流提供了更细致的方法。研究结果为政策制定者提供了宝贵的见解,使他们能够更好地了解影响航空货运量的因素,并实施有效的策略,以促进航空货运业的可持续发展。
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引用次数: 0
Innovative intermodal transportation business models for perishables: A scoping review 易腐货物的创新多式联运商业模式:范围审查
IF 3.7 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2025-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ajsl.2025.07.002
María del Carmen García Barranco, Juan Carlos Pérez Mesa, Jesús Hernández Rubio
This paper presents a scoping review of the literature on innovative business models (BM) in the context of intermodal transport of perishable goods, with a particular focus on short sea shipping (SSS). It explores the ongoing reluctance of supply chain stakeholders to adopt modal shift strategies, despite well-documented environmental and social benefits. To address this challenge, the study proposes the BM concept as a strategic and operational tool to bridge the gap between vision and implementation, particularly within the agri-food sector, where supply chain management is critical. The review reveals a strong prevalence of BM oriented toward digitalization and collaboration to enhance intermodal logistics. However, it also identifies a notable gap in models that address externality reduction and improvements in service quality. Those two dimensions are especially relevant for the successful implementation of intermodal solutions for perishable products.
本文对易腐货物多式联运背景下的创新商业模式(BM)的文献进行了范围审查,特别关注短途海运(SSS)。它探讨了供应链利益相关者不愿意采取模式转变战略,尽管有充分的环境和社会效益。为了应对这一挑战,该研究提出了BM概念作为一种战略和操作工具,以弥合愿景与实施之间的差距,特别是在供应链管理至关重要的农业食品部门。该综述揭示了以数字化和协作为导向的BM的强大流行,以增强多式联运物流。然而,它也指出了解决外部性减少和服务质量改进的模型的显著差距。这两个方面对于易腐产品的多式联运解决方案的成功实施尤为重要。
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引用次数: 0
Analysis of the competitive structure of the grain terminal in the West Coast region of South Korea 韩国西海岸地区粮食码头竞争结构分析
IF 3.7 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2025-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ajsl.2025.06.001
Maria Listan Bernal, Young-Seo Choi, Margarita Krivoshapkina, Gi-Tae Yeo
This study aimed to analyze the competition structure of grain terminals in the West Coast region of South Korea. Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI), shift-share analysis, and Boston consulting group (BCG) Matrix approaches were used in this study. The results showed that grain terminals in Incheon, such as Hanjin, CJ Korea Express, Daehan Silo, and Korea TBT, did not attain the positive handling level of the Taeyoung Grain Terminal located in Pyeongtaek Dangjin port and outstanding gains of Sun Kwang (Gunsan) grain terminal. The results of this study have implications for the establishment of government policies such as the construction of additional grain terminals and repair of existing facilities.
本研究旨在分析韩国西海岸地区粮食码头的竞争结构。本研究采用赫芬达尔-赫希曼指数(HHI)、偏移份额分析和波士顿咨询集团(BCG)矩阵方法。结果显示,韩进、CJ大韩通运、大韩仓仓、韩国TBT等仁川地区的粮食码头,没有达到平泽唐津港太荣粮食码头的积极处理水平,也没有达到善光(群山)粮食码头的突出表现。本研究的结果对政府政策的制定,如建设额外的粮食码头和修复现有设施具有启示意义。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Asian Journal of Shipping and Logistics
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