折现、不平等与经济趋同

C. Gollier
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引用次数: 12

摘要

本文的目的是研究在没有任何风险分担方案的情况下,不平等和经济收敛对有效贴现率的影响。我们考虑一个初始消费水平和消费增长分布是异质的经济体。基准情况是,不平等是永久性的,相对风险厌恶是恒定的。在这种情况下,折现率不受不等式的影响。我们首先放宽对风险厌恶的假设,并推导出永久不等式降低贴现率的条件。如果相对审慎大于统一,经济趋同的增加总是提高有效贴现率。在一个现实的校准练习中,我们表明,经济趋同的影响是贴现率的三倍,从不到2%到超过6%。
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Discounting, Inequalities and Economic Convergence
The aim of this paper is to examine the impact of inequalities and economic convergence on the efficient discount rate, in the absence of any risk-sharing scheme. We consider an economy in which the initial consumption level and the distribution of consumption growth are heterogeneous. The benchmark case is when inequalities are permanent and relative risk aversion is constant. The discount rate is not affected by inequalities in that case. We first relax the assumption on risk aversion, and we derive conditions under which permanent inequalities reduce the discount rate. If relative prudence is larger than unity, an increase in economic convergence always raises the efficient discount rate. In a realistic calibration exercise, we show that the effect of economic convergence is to triple the discount rate, from less 2% to more than 6%.
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