支持风险情境评估的犯罪信息语义表示模型的发展

J. F. Saran, L. C. Botega
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摘要

情境意识(Situational Awareness, SAW)指的是个人或团队对某一情境的意识水平。在风险管理和犯罪数据分析领域,SAW故障会导致操作人员在决策中犯错误,并对生命或财产构成风险。在这种情况下,通常涉及数据挖掘、融合和其他方法的风险评估过程提供了产生更好信息的机会,并有助于改进犯罪和风险分析人员的SAW。然而,复杂情景的表征受制于信息的表征和表达问题,这可能会影响其解释,因为它们的质量和重要性,产生不确定性。关于风险情况和相关领域的信息的最新表示方法所采用的信息质量有限。此外,解决方案仅限于确定信息之间关系的语法机制,消极地限制了结果的自信。因此,本文旨在开发一种新的方法来语义表示风险情况的信息,更具体地说,创建领域本体,实例化犯罪数据和信息质量。在案例研究中,利用新的语义模型对犯罪的真实信息进行处理,并通过计算推理过程来表征抢劫和盗窃的情况。
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Development of a Semantic Representation Model of Criminal Information to Support the Assessment of Risk Situations
Situational Awareness (SAW) refers to the level of consciousness that an individual or team holds over a situation. In the area of ​​risk management and criminal data analysis, SAW failures can induce human operators to make mistakes in decision making and pose risks to life or property. In this context, risk assessment processes, which commonly involves data mining, fusion and other methods, present opportunities to generate better information and contribute to the improvement of the SAW of crime and risk analysts. However, the characterization of complex scenarios is subject to problems of representation and expressiveness of the information, which may influence its interpretation due to their quality and significance, generating uncertainties. The state-of-the-art in representation of information on risk situations and related areas presents approaches with limited use of information quality. In addition, the solutions are restricted to syntactic mechanisms for the determination of relations between information, negatively restricting the assertiveness of the results. Thus, this paper aims to develop a new approach to semantic representation of information of risk situations, more specifically creating domain ontologies, instantiated with crime data and information quality. In a case study, real information on crimes, represented by the new semantic model and consumed by computational inference processes, was be processed, aiming to characterize robbery and theft situations.
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