基于大数据的槽道超高程分析与预测

Huang Jiabin, Zhichao He, Chen Li, Hongru Fan, Yi Yin, Xie Yongjun
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引用次数: 0

摘要

城市轨道交通安全状态检测是保障轨道交通正常运行的重要环节。利用钢轨检测到的数据对钢轨质量进行分析和预测,对于钢轨检测的研究具有十分重要的意义。本文在已有研究的基础上,利用大数据对采集到的高程数据进行分析,建立了基于随机振荡序列灰色模型和ALO-Elman网络相结合的槽道高程大数据预测模型,对历史高程数据进行分析,挖掘高程趋势信息。本文采集等间距槽道在一定间隔内的超高程数据平均值进行验证。实验结果表明,该方法能合理地预测超高程的变化趋势。变化趋势与原始数据变化趋势基本一致,偏差控制在范围内较小。
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Analysis and Prediction of Trough Track Superelevation Based on Big Data
The detection of the safety status of urban rail transit is an important part of ensuring the operation of the rail. Using the data detected by the rail to analyze and predict the quality of the rail is very important for the research of rail inspection. Based on the existing research, this paper uses big data to analyze the collected superelevation data, and builds a trough-track superelevation big data prediction model based on the combination of the stochastic oscillation sequence gray model and ALO-Elman network to analyze the historical superelevation data and mine information about superelevation trends. In this paper, the average value of superelevation data of the equal-spaced groove track in a certain interval is collected for verification. The experimental results show that the method can reasonably predict the change trend of the ultra-elevation. The change trend is basically in line with the original data change trend, and the deviation is controlled to be small within range.
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