后共产主义社会民主转型的前景:保加利亚的案例

Linka Toneva-Metodieva
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摘要

摘要:如果以加入欧盟为最终目标,保加利亚与欧盟一体化的道路总体上是成功的。但是,如果我们扩大我们的分析视角,很明显,道路是不平坦的。加入欧盟的目标实现后,十年来改革和倒退的步伐参差不齐。本文旨在从非正式性的角度探讨这种不理想发展的可能解释。本案例研究分为三个主题部分。首先,从经验的角度讨论保加利亚在后共产主义时代的政治和社会发展,特别关注腐败、选举参与、公民信任和法治。其次,试图检查共产主义的权力网络,以寻找对今天观察到的国家捕获趋势的解释。这篇文章的一个关键贡献是得出结论:非正式关系和裙带关系不仅是共产主义制度运作的副产品,而且是其本质。第三,在此基础上,就保加利亚和其他具有类似背景的国家进行民主改革的可能性得出结论。作者的发现是,这种转变只有通过公共治理模式的根本改变才有可能实现——从一个软弱的被俘国家和非正式的权力结构转变为通过伙伴关系制定的公共政策。
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Prospects for a Democratic Transformation of Postcommunist Society: The Case of Bulgaria
Abstract:The road to integration of Bulgaria with the European Union has been generally successful if accession to the EU is considered the end goal. But if we broaden our analytical lens, it is clear that the road has been uneven. The achieved objective of accession has been followed by ten years of unevenly paced reform and backsliding. This article aims to explore the possible explanations for this unsatisfactory development from the perspective of informality.The case study is structured in three thematic parts. Firstly, political and social developments in Bulgaria in the postcommunist decades are discussed from an empirical point of view, with particular focus on corruption, electoral participation, citizen trust, and rule of law. Secondly, an attempt is made to examine communist power networks in search of an explanation for the trends of state capture observed today. A key contribution of the article is the conclusion that informal relationships and clientelism are not merely a byproduct of the functioning of the communist system but its very essence.Thirdly, on that basis, conclusions are drawn regarding the possibility for the democratic transformation of Bulgaria and other countries with a similar background. The author's findings are that such a transformation is only possible through a fundamental change in the mode of public governance—from a weak captured state and informality of power structures to public policies through partnership.
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