学校建设项目资源需求估算的回归分析模型

Paikun, Nova Dwi Prastyo, Rival Fadilah, R. Muhamad, T. Kadri
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引用次数: 1

摘要

教室是教育和学习活动的主要手段。根据教育和文化部2018-2019年的统计数据,印度尼西亚有38960所学校,10,125,724名学生,358,361间教室和354,518个学习小组。在这些教室中,有损坏的有条件的教室,轻微损坏193,927间,中等损坏26,324间,严重损坏20,116间,完全损坏11,548间。印尼的初中需要增加15931个教室。学校建设必须自我管理,但大多数教育单位没有足够的人力资源能够预测建设项目资源的需求,现有的方法需要特殊的专业知识,需要完整的数据,需要很长时间并且可以申报困难,因为没有简单准确的公式。基于这些问题,需要有一个解决方案,本研究提供了一个解决方案,即模型。在这个模型中,有一个乘数系数来确定新教室建设项目的总成本、材料数量和人力数量。这些模型是从使用定量描述方法的研究结果中获得的。使用的主要数据为45个随机抽样数据,直接从学校建设委员会获得的数据多达40个,研究人员进行建设的项目文件有5个数据。数据分析采用BOW法、数值法和回归分析法相结合的方法。对这些模型进行了有效性检验,结果准确,平均误差在5%以下。利用这些模型,预测学校建设资源,只需要输入学校建筑面积数据就足够了,可以节省大量的时间,并且不需要专门的建筑工程专业知识就可以使用。
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Regression Analysis Model for Estimating the Resource Needs of School Construction Projects
Classrooms are the main means of education and learning activities. Based on statistics from the Ministry of Education and Culture in 2018–2019, in Indonesia there were 38,960 schools, 10,125,724 students, 358,361 classrooms, and 354,518 study groups. From a number of these classrooms there are damaged classrooms with conditions, minor damage 193,927, middle damage 26,324, major damage 20,116, and totally damage 11,548. So that junior high schools in Indonesia need to add 15,931 classrooms. School construction must be self-managed, but most in the Education unit do not have adequate human resources to be able to predict the needs of construction project resources Existing methods require special expertise, need complete data, take a long time and can be declared difficult, because there is no easy and accurate formula. Based on these problems there needs to be a solution, and this research has provided a solution that is the model. In this model there is a multiplier coefficient to determine the total cost, the amount of material, and the number of manpower in a new classroom construction project. These models are obtained from the results of research using a quantitative descriptive method approach. The primary data used were 45 random sampling data, obtained directly from the school construction committee as many as 40 data, and the project documents for which the construction was carried out by researchers were 5 data. Data analysis uses a combination of BOW method, numerical method and regression analysis method. These models have been tested for validity and the results are accurate, there is only an average difference of under 5%. Using these models, to predict school construction resources, it is enough to enter the school building area data alone, can save a lot of time, and can be used without having special construction engineering expertise.
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