尼日利亚夸拉州Asa L.G.A的土著气象预报方法

L. T. Ajibade, O. O. Shokemi
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引用次数: 42

摘要

在Kwara州的Asa地方政府地区,随机选择了200名年龄在45岁以上的人,其中大多数是男性,并对他们进行了采访,以获取有关他们当地天气预报方法的信息。研究发现,超过95%的受访者对天气预报非常了解。他们确定了五种天气系统,他们能够利用积累的经验进行预测。这些因素包括降雨、雷暴、暴风、冰雹和阳光。观察到的其中一些情况的发生,也可以加以修改(诱导或预防)。虽然土著天气预报因其在农业发展中的作用而受到赞赏,但由于其可能对自然过程产生影响,因此不鼓励对其进行修改。总而言之,本土方法被认为是对西方方法的补充,而不是矛盾。因此,该研究建议,应该在发展过程中利用和整合本土基于知识的研究成果。
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Indigenous approach to weather forecasting in Asa L.G.A, Kwara State, Nigeria
Two hundred (200) people of ages above forty-five (45) years and mostly males were randomly selected and interviewed across Asa Local Government Area of Kwara State, to elicit information on their indigenous methods of weather forecast. The study observed that over 95% of the respondents know much about weather forecast. They identified five weather systems, which they are capable of forecasting using accumulated experiences. These include rainfall, thunderstorm, windstorm, harmattan and sunshine. The occurrence of some of these as observed, can also be modified (induced or prevented). Whereas, indigenous weather forecasting is appreciated for its role in agricultural development, their modifications are however, discouraged for their possible effects on natural processes. To sum up, indigenous methods are seen as complimentary rather than contradiction to western-based methods. Consequently, the study recommends that outcomes of indigenous knowledge-based researches should be utilised and integrated in development processes.
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