印尼一艘滚装客船在不规则波束海域倾覆的可能性(第二次报告)

B. Iskandar, N. Umeda, M. Hamamoto
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引用次数: 2

摘要

在我们的第一份报告中,我们提出了一种根据分段线性数学模型和波浪统计计算的年倾覆概率来确定印度尼西亚滚装客船临界离心高度的方法。第二份报告遵循第一份报告的方法,并利用模型实验的船舶侧倾数据和修正的波浪统计数据提供了更现实的结果。结果表明,侧开滚装舱的印尼滚装客船的年翻船概率与印尼海域伤亡统计数据中的实际翻船率基本吻合,通过关闭侧开舱口可以大幅降低侧开舱口的印尼滚装客船的年翻船概率。
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Capsizing Probability of an Indonesian RoRo Passenger Ship in Irregular Beam Seas (Second Report)
In our first report, we presented a methodology for determining the critical metecentric height of an Indonesia RoRo passenger ship in the light of the annual capsizing probability calculated with piece-wise linear mathematical model and wave statistics. The second report follows the methodology in the first report, and provides more realistic outcomes by making use of the ship roll data from the model experiments and corrected wave statistics. As a result, it is demonstrated that the annual capsizing probability of the Indonesian RoRo passenger ship with side openings of the RoRo space almost coincides with the actual capsizing rate taken from the casualty statistics in Indonesian water areas, and can be drastically reduced by closing the side openings.
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