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Estimation Method for Dragged Anchor Accident Frequency on Subsea Pipelines in Busy Port Areas 繁忙港区海底管道拖锚事故频次估算方法
Pub Date : 2014-12-01 DOI: 10.2534/JJASNAOE.20.173
Y. Mulyadi, E. Kobayashi, N. Wakabayashi, T. Pitana, Wahyudi, E. Prasetyo
Recently, many subsea pipelines have been developed in busy port areas, including industrial ports, recreational areas, fishing areas, and other port facilities. Under busy ship traffic conditions, these subsea pipelines are likely to be exposed to the risk of damage by a dragged anchor or other dropped objects. In this paper, a model is proposed to estimate the dragged anchor accident frequency on subsea pipelines based on the concept introduced by Fujii. The proposed model is approached by estimating the number of dragged anchor candidates on subsea pipelines, Na, based on an analysis of the anchor stopping distance in a critical subsea pipeline area. The causation probability Pc is estimated using a Bayesian network method that is modified from the model of Det Norske Veritas (DNV) and Hanninen. Various factors are considered to estimate Pc, including the human factor, weather factor, technical factor, and support factor. Automatic Identification System (AIS) and Geographic Information System (GIS) data are combined to estimate the lateral probability distribution of the ship traffic around a subsea pipeline area. A case study of anchors dragging on the subsea pipeline in the Madura Strait of Indonesia is performed to demonstrate the implementation of the proposed model. The proposed model is validated by comparing the results for the estimated dragged anchor accident frequency on the subsea pipeline using the proposed model with the actual accidents recorded in the Madura Strait. The results of this validation analysis show that there is reasonable agreement.
近年来,在繁忙的港口地区,包括工业港口、休闲区、渔区和其他港口设施,开发了许多海底管道。在繁忙的船舶交通条件下,这些海底管道很可能受到拖曳锚或其他掉落物体的损坏。本文基于Fujii提出的概念,提出了海底管道拖曳锚事故频率估计模型。该模型是基于对海底管道关键区域锚停距离的分析,通过估算海底管道Na上的候选拖锚数量来实现的。根据挪威船级社(DNV)和Hanninen的模型改进的贝叶斯网络方法估计了因果概率Pc。Pc的估计考虑了各种因素,包括人为因素、天气因素、技术因素和支持因素。将自动识别系统(AIS)和地理信息系统(GIS)数据相结合,估计海底管道区域周围船舶交通的横向概率分布。通过对印度尼西亚Madura海峡海底管道锚杆拖曳的案例研究,验证了所提出模型的实施。通过将该模型估计的海底管道拖锚事故频率与Madura海峡记录的实际事故频率进行比较,验证了该模型的有效性。验证分析结果表明,两者有合理的一致性。
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引用次数: 3
Variational Principles Related to Motions of a Floating Elastic Plate in Waves 浮动弹性板在波浪中运动的变分原理
Pub Date : 2013-06-01 DOI: 10.2534/JJASNAOE.17.31
S. Nagata, H. Isshiki, Y. Imai, K. Toyota
In this paper, variational principles related to motions of an elastic plate in waves considering wave radiation condition at infinity, which are very important in calculations of the elastic response of the pontoon- type floating structure, are discussed. First, Sommerfeld radiation condition at infinity is extended to treat a case with an incident wave. Second, four kinds of variational principles related to motions of the elastic floating plate considering the incident and radiated waves are proposed and clarified the mutual relationship of these variational principles. Third, numerical results for elastic response of a floating plate of rectangular plan geometry in waves, which are obtained by using proposed variational principles, are shown.
本文讨论了考虑无穷远波辐射条件下弹性板在波浪中运动的变分原理,这对计算浮桥式浮体结构的弹性响应是非常重要的。首先,将无限远处的索默菲尔德辐射条件推广到有入射波的情况。其次,提出了考虑入射波和辐射波的弹性浮板运动的四种变分原理,并阐明了这些变分原理之间的相互关系。第三,给出了用变分原理计算矩形平面浮板在波浪中的弹性响应的数值结果。
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引用次数: 2
Study on the Water-exchange Performance of Buoyancy-control Type Ballast-free Ship by Model Tests at Sea 浮力控制型无压载船换水性能海上模型试验研究
Pub Date : 2013-06-01 DOI: 10.2534/JJASNAOE.17.177
M. Arai, K. Wakabayashi, T. Kikuchi, S. Shimode
To cope with the problems in the marine ecosystem caused by the ballast water from ships, the International Maritime Organization (IMO) adopted the International Convention for the Control and Management of Ships' Ballast Water and Sediments in 2004. In response to this legislation, ballast water treatment systems are being developed worldwide. The ballast-free ship concept proposed by Yokohama National University is aimed at solving this ballast water problem from a completely different standpoint. In the proposed system, seawater continuously passes through the buoyancy control tank to keep the contents of the water inside the tank the same as that outside the ship. A series of studies on this new concept has been carried out by the authors, including the analysis of seawater circulating performance inside the buoyancy control tanks, an examination of the increase in resistance caused by adding small appendages such as intake and exit gates on the ship bottom, a study of structural integrity of the system, and related work. In the present study, the authors used a scale model of an actual double bottom tank and carried out an experiment to examine the water exchange performance of the proposed system on the open sea. In the model experiment, the water inside the tank was set as fresh water initially, and as time passed, the water inside the tank changed to the seawater outside the tank. The water locality ratio inside the tank was evaluated based on the salinity change of the water inside the tank and the change of the numbers of phytoplankton cells inside the tank. Numerical results and experimental results were compared to examine the performance of the proposed ballast-free system.
为了解决船舶压载水对海洋生态系统造成的问题,国际海事组织(IMO)于2004年通过了《国际船舶压载水及沉积物控制与管理公约》。为了响应这项立法,压载水处理系统正在世界范围内开发。横滨国立大学提出的无压载船概念旨在从一个完全不同的角度解决压载水问题。在提出的系统中,海水不断地通过浮力控制舱,以保持舱内的水与船外的水的含量相同。作者对这一新概念进行了一系列的研究,包括浮力控制箱内海水循环性能的分析,在船底增加小附属物(如进、出船闸)引起的阻力增加的研究,系统结构完整性的研究以及相关工作。在本研究中,作者使用了实际双底水箱的比例模型,并进行了实验,以检验所提出的系统在公海上的换水性能。在模型实验中,水箱内的水最初被设置为淡水,随着时间的推移,水箱内的水变成了水箱外的海水。根据池内水的盐度变化和池内浮游植物细胞数量的变化来评价池内水体局域比。数值结果与实验结果进行了比较,验证了所提出的无镇流器系统的性能。
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引用次数: 0
Experimental and Numerical Study of an Anti-Sloshing Floating Device for Membrane-Type LNG Tanks 膜式LNG储罐防晃动浮动装置的实验与数值研究
Pub Date : 2013-06-01 DOI: 10.2534/JJASNAOE.17.185
M. Arai, R. Suzuki, N. Kishimoto, T. Ando
Recent developments with offshore terminals and floating liquefied natural gas (FLNG) production, storage and offloading applications have included the new requirement that the storage tanks be able to handle unrestricted filling with LNG. If membrane-type tanks are used in such new systems, the occurrence of sloshing in the half-load condition becomes one of the most important design issues. In this paper, the authors propose a simple anti-sloshing floating device to be installed inside a liquid cargo tank. By setting the device on the free surface of the liquid cargo, the original free surface is divided into two or more sub-surfaces, and resonant sloshing of the liquid can be avoided by changing the natural frequency of its motion. This floating device can follow the liquid height change in the tank during loading and unloading operations of the liquid cargo, a feature that is especially preferable in FLNG applications. The authors examine the performance of the proposed anti-sloshing device by a series of model experiments and numerical simulations, which indicate that the device's performance is very promising.
海上终端和浮式液化天然气(FLNG)生产、储存和卸载应用的最新发展包括新的要求,即储罐能够处理不受限制的液化天然气填充。如果在这种新系统中使用膜式储罐,半负荷状态下晃动的发生成为最重要的设计问题之一。本文提出了一种安装在液货舱内的简易防晃动浮动装置。通过将装置设置在液货的自由表面上,将原自由表面划分为两个或多个子表面,通过改变其运动的固有频率,可以避免液体的共振晃动。这种浮动装置可以在液体货物装卸过程中跟踪罐内液体高度的变化,这在FLNG应用中尤其可取。通过一系列的模型实验和数值模拟验证了所提出的防晃动装置的性能,表明该装置的性能是很有希望的。
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引用次数: 2
Fatigue strength of austenitic stainless steels applied to chemical tankers 化学罐车用奥氏体不锈钢的疲劳强度
Pub Date : 2012-12-01 DOI: 10.2534/JJASNAOE.16.89
Hideyuki Uchimura, Masao Takuno, K. Murakami, K. Gotoh
The authors investigated the fatigue crack propagation behavior of solid austenitic stainless steels SUS304L, SUS316L and SUS316LN in order to conduct the characteristics of fatigue behavior of each stainless steel. Not only the constant stress amplitude tests, but also the load decreasing tests called by ΔKth test regulated by ASTM E647 were performed to identify the material constants of fatigue crack propagation. Comparison of the fatigue crack growth behavior of SUS304L, SUS316L and SUS316LN with mild steels was also performed. The authors also investigated the fatigue life of load-carrying type cruciform joints of austenitic stainless steels,which were modeled upon the lower end of vertically corrugated bulkhead of chemical tankers. Besides, the possibility of quantitative numerical simulation of the fatigue crack propagation for the stainless steels was also investigated. This simulation procedure was applied for the advanced effective stress intensity factor range based on a Re-tensile Plastic zone Generation (RPG) load and the fatigue crack closure phenomenon was quantitatively considered. The experimental results are compared with the numerical simulation results in this study and the validity of fatigue crack growth simulation procedure applied in this study is confirmed.
研究了固态奥氏体不锈钢SUS304L、SUS316L和SUS316LN的疲劳裂纹扩展行为,以了解每种不锈钢的疲劳行为特征。为了确定疲劳裂纹扩展的材料常数,不仅进行了恒应力幅试验,还进行了ASTM E647规定的ΔKth减载试验。对比了SUS304L、SUS316L和SUS316LN与低碳钢的疲劳裂纹扩展行为。以化工船垂直波纹舱壁下端为模型,研究了奥氏体不锈钢承载型十字形接头的疲劳寿命。此外,还对不锈钢疲劳裂纹扩展进行定量数值模拟的可能性进行了探讨。将该模拟程序应用于基于再拉伸塑性区生成(RPG)载荷的先进有效应力强度因子范围,并定量考虑疲劳裂纹闭合现象。将实验结果与数值模拟结果进行了比较,验证了疲劳裂纹扩展模拟方法的有效性。
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引用次数: 2
Development of Numerical Model for Brittle Crack Propagation/Arrest Behaviors 脆性裂纹扩展/止裂行为数值模型的建立
Pub Date : 2012-12-01 DOI: 10.2534/JJASNAOE.16.109
S. Aihara, Kazuki Shibanuma, Y. Watabe
A new model for dynamic crack propagation and arrest in steel plates is proposed. The model is based on the local fracture stress criterion and incorporates the influence of plastic deformation on the tip of a dynamically propagating crack. Under extremely high applied stress intensity factor, the crack-tip plastic zone develops so as to decrease plane strain condition region along the crack front. This leads to the relaxation of plastic constraint and the lowering tensile stress at the crack tip. It is thereby difficult for the crack to keep propagating. The proposed model is applied to the past published ultra-wide crack arrest tests, where a crack was arrested even if stress intensity factor K was higher than arrest toughness Kca obtained by the standard crack arrest test. Although the results have been unexplained for many years, the numerical results of the proposed model show good agreement with the past test results. It is found out that the primary reason of the crack arrest of ultra-wide plate tests can be explained by the loss of plane strain condition at the crack front.
提出了一种新的钢板裂纹动态扩展与止裂模型。该模型基于局部断裂应力准则,考虑了塑性变形对动态扩展裂纹尖端的影响。在极高的外加应力强度因子下,裂纹尖端形成塑性区,从而减小沿裂纹前缘的平面应变条件区。这导致了塑性约束的松弛和裂纹尖端拉应力的降低。因此,裂缝很难继续扩展。该模型适用于以往发表的超宽裂纹止裂试验,即使应力强度因子K高于标准裂纹止裂试验获得的止裂韧性Kca,裂纹也会被止裂。尽管结果多年来一直无法解释,但所提出模型的数值结果与过去的试验结果吻合良好。研究发现,超宽板试验裂纹止裂的主要原因是裂纹前缘平面应变条件的丧失。
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引用次数: 6
Verification on the Resistance Test in Waves Using the Actual Sea Model Basin 用实际海模盆验证波浪阻力试验
Pub Date : 2012-12-01 DOI: 10.2534/JJASNAOE.16.33
M. Tsujimoto, M. Kuroda, Koichiro Shiraishi, Yasuo Ichinose, N. Sogihara
The Actual Sea Model Basin was completed at August, 2010 at National Maritime Research Institute, Japan. The basin is equipped with wave generators surrounding the basin, towing carriage and wind blowers in which actual sea conditions are realized. Using the basin verification on the resistance test in waves was carried out. Comparison with the added resistance in waves is carried out between the other tanks in our institute using models of a container carrier and a bulk carrier. Through the evaluation of the decrease of ship speed, it is confirmed the deviation is smaller than that carried out the cooperative tank tests previously using the same ship form among the other tank institutes in Japan. Here the result of the verification is reported.
实际海模型盆地于2010年8月在日本国立海洋研究所完成。盆周围设置有造波器、拖车、风机,实现实际海况。利用盆法对波浪阻力试验进行了验证。采用集装箱船模型和散货船模型对我所其他储罐在波浪中的附加阻力进行了比较。通过对船速下降的评价,确认其偏差小于日本其他油罐研究所以前使用相同船型进行的合作油罐试验。这里报告了验证的结果。
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引用次数: 4
Kinetic Analysis of Ships using Satellite Image 基于卫星图像的船舶动力学分析
Pub Date : 2012-12-01 DOI: 10.2534/JJASNAOE.16.165
M. Watagawa, E. Kobayashi, N. Wakabayashi
The Panchromatic Remote-sensing Instrument for Stereo Mapping (PRISM) on board of the Advanced Land Observing Satellite (ALOS) was launched for earth observation and there are more than 12 million scenes of archives including coastal areas during period of five years. Nowadays, the number of AIS (Automatic Identification System)-equipped ships is increasing for maritime safety and monitoring vessel traffic. The purpose of this paper is to acquire the knowledge about kinetic analysis of vessel traffic by satellite images with simultaneous acquisition of AIS data. The authors extracted vessel information from ALOS images with AIS data by using Geographic Information System (GIS) in the Straits of Malacca on 4th May 2010. It should be noted that this process would enable to classify various length vessels with AIS-equipped or AIS-unequipped. Then, Speed and Course of each vessel was obtained from observation time differences between two satellite images. The comparison between the information of each vessel from satellite images and AIS data (SOG:Speed over ground and COG:Course over ground) as actual measurement value show a quite good agreement.
先进陆地观测卫星(ALOS)搭载的全色立体测绘遥感仪(PRISM)对地观测发射升空,5年间包括沿海地区在内的影像档案超过1200万张。目前,为保障海上安全,监控船舶交通,装备AIS(自动识别系统)的船舶越来越多。本文的目的是在获取AIS数据的同时,利用卫星图像获取船舶交通动力学分析的知识。利用地理信息系统(GIS)对2010年5月4日马六甲海峡的AIS数据进行了船舶信息提取。应该指出的是,这一过程将能够对配备ais或未配备ais的各种长度的船只进行分类。然后根据两幅卫星图像的观测时间差,得到各船的航速和航向。每艘船的卫星图像信息与AIS数据(SOG:对地速度和COG:对地航向)作为实际测量值进行比较,结果吻合较好。
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引用次数: 0
Gas Explosion Analysis for FLNG Plant Layout Design FLNG装置布置设计中的瓦斯爆炸分析
Pub Date : 2012-07-01 DOI: 10.2534/JJASNAOE.19.255
Kazuhisa Otsubo, Sotaro Masanobu, Y. Yaguchi, Takayuki Asanuma, K. Maeda
Recently, the natural gas is expected to be an environmentally friendlier energy and alternative to the nuclear energy. In the social situation, many oil and gas and engineering companies had studied FEEDs of the FLNG expected to be a new production system for offshore natural gas development in the near future. The FLNG system is no proven technology and there is no operation, which can make it difficult to design the FLNG. Furthermore, it is noted that the FLNG designers can't get enough information for the design and need the design standard. Gas explosion is the technical problems for the topside facilities of FLNG. Though it is so difficult to understand the gas explosion phenomenon, the FLNG designers have to evaluate the peak over pressure of gas explosion for the design of topside layout to prevent gas explosion from damaging the facilities. The objective of this paper is to study the gas explosion by the numerical simulation. The authors have conducted the gas explosion analysis for FLNG model by the numerical simulation program AutoReaGas which was developed by TNO and the Century Dynamics. The results show that the physical factors such as ignition location can make significant effects on the peak over pressure of gas explosion.
近年来,天然气有望成为一种更环保的能源和核能的替代品。在社会形势下,许多油气和工程公司都在研究FLNG的feed,期望在不久的将来成为海上天然气开发的一种新的生产系统。FLNG系统没有经过验证的技术,也没有操作,这给FLNG的设计带来了困难。此外,还指出了FLNG设计人员无法获得足够的设计信息,需要设计标准。瓦斯爆炸是FLNG上部设施的技术难题。虽然气体爆炸现象很难理解,但FLNG设计人员必须对气体爆炸峰值超压进行评估,以进行上层布置设计,防止气体爆炸对设施造成破坏。本文的目的是对瓦斯爆炸进行数值模拟研究。作者利用TNO与Century Dynamics共同开发的数值模拟程序AutoReaGas对FLNG模型进行了瓦斯爆炸分析。结果表明,点火位置等物理因素对瓦斯爆炸峰值超压有显著影响。
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引用次数: 2
Automatic Designing System for Piping and Instruments Arrangement including Branches of Pipes : Multi-objective Optimization of Piping Material Costs and Valve Operability 含支管的管道及仪表布置自动设计系统:管道材料成本和阀门可操作性的多目标优化
Pub Date : 2011-12-01 DOI: 10.2534/JJASNAOE.14.165
H. Kimura
Automatic designing of piping layout is challenging since it is composed of several numerical and/or combinational optimization problems, e.g., routing problems of pipes including branches, and arrangement problems of equipments. This paper presents a new approach based on a simple idea that the branches of pipes are considered to be a variety of equipment. Accordingly, the pipe routing problems are fairly simplified by removing the branches, and it derives a lot of efficient algorithms to solve the pipe arrangement problems. One is a multi-objective genetic algorithm (MOGA) in which the gene represents both the locations of the equipments and the arrangement of the pipes. And a new simple and efficient crossover operation which appropriately merges two different piping layouts (but of course the PID is the same) is proposed. In order to provide a fairly good initial population for the MOGA, a new heuristics making use of self-organization techniques to arrange equipments is proposed. The efficiency of the proposed approach is demonstrated through two experiments, one is a designing problem including five valves, one pump, and five branches, and the other includes seven valves, one pump, and six branches. The objective of the optimization in the experiments is to minimize the length of the pipes, the number of elbows, and the valve operability cost. The algorithms are programmed using Java language. Although the automatic arrangement system used in the experiments is academic, the concept of the proposed approach will be accepted in practical systems.
管道布置的自动化设计是一个具有挑战性的问题,因为它是由几个数值和/或组合优化问题组成的,如管道的布线问题,包括分支的布线问题和设备的布置问题。本文提出了一种新的方法,该方法基于一个简单的思想,即把管道的分支看作是各种各样的设备。通过去除分支,使管道布置问题得到了较好的简化,并推导出了许多求解管道布置问题的高效算法。一种是多目标遗传算法(MOGA),其中基因既表示设备的位置,也表示管道的排列。并提出了一种新的简单有效的交叉操作,适当地合并两种不同的管道布局(当然PID是相同的)。为了给MOGA提供一个较好的初始种群,提出了一种利用自组织技术安排设备的启发式算法。通过两个实验验证了该方法的有效性,一个是包含五个阀、一个泵和五个分支的设计问题,另一个是包含七个阀、一个泵和六个分支的设计问题。实验优化的目标是使管道长度、弯头数量和阀门的可操作性成本最小。算法采用Java语言编写。虽然实验中使用的自动排列系统是学术性的,但所提出的方法的概念将被实际系统所接受。
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引用次数: 15
期刊
Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Japan
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