加密货币市场有下行风险吗

V. Dobrynskaya
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引用次数: 5

摘要

我通过标准的多因素资产定价模型来看待加密货币市场,特别关注市场下行风险。对1700个硬币的分析表明,在下行市场风险暴露方面存在显著的异质性,并且较高的下行风险暴露与较高的平均回报相关。在横断面回归中,额外的下行风险以统计上显著的溢价定价。将下行风险成分添加到CAPM和加密货币的三因素模型中,可以显着提高模型的解释力。下行风险与规模和动量风险正交,构成了多因素加密货币定价模型的重要组成部分。
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Is Downside Risk Priced in Cryptocurrency Market
I look at the cryptocurrency market through the prism of standard multi-factor asset-pricing models with particular attention to the downside market risk. The analysis for 1,700 coins reveals that there is a significant heterogeneity in the exposure to the downside market risk, and that a higher downside risk exposure is associated with higher average returns. The extra downside risk is priced with a statistically significant premium in cross-sectional regressions. Adding the downside risk component to the CAPM and the 3-factor model for cryptocurrencies improves the explanatory power of the models significantly. The downside risk is orthogonal to the size and momentum risks and constitutes an important forth component in the multi-factor cryptocurrency pricing model.
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