基于解释构造建模的水库建设风险影响因素研究

Wang Xin, Yueming Wang
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引用次数: 2

摘要

水库对水资源的配置和合理利用具有重要作用,特别是中国的水资源集中分布在西部地区,应建设大型水库以满足各地区的民生需求。大型水库建设存在诸多风险,明确这些风险有助于我们在工程实施前更好地进行规划和决策。通过文献阅读和专业信息检索,确定了水库建设项目案例施工阶段的11个风险因素,应用ISM (Interpretative Structural Modeling)构建了风险影响因素体系。研究表明,战略方针和政策的风险以及基础设施规划的变化对建设风险管理的影响最深。其中,战略政策风险是根源影响,基础设施规划变更风险影响深远。通过以上结论,为水库建设风险控制提供管理对策和建议。
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Research on Influencing Factors of Reservoir Construction Risk Based on Interpretative Structural Modeling
Reservoir plays an important role in the allocation and rational use of water resources, especially water resources in China are centrally distributed in the western region, and large reservoirs should be built to meet the people’s livelihood needs of each region. The construction of large reservoirs has numerous risks, the clarity of these risks helps us to better plan and make decisions before implementing the project. Search through literature reading and professional information, determined 11 risk factors in the construction phase of the reservoir construction project case, construct a risk influencing factor system under the application of ISM (Interpretative Structural Modeling). Studies have shown that the risks of strategic guidelines and policies and changes in infrastructure planning have the deepest impact on construction risk management. Among them, the strategic policy risk is the root impact, and the impact of the infrastructure planning change risk has a far-reaching impact. Through the above conclusions, providing management countermeasures and suggestions for the risk control of reservoir construction.
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