生命内部收益率研究

Sorrawee Roenganan, Masnita Misran, N. Phewchean
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引用次数: 1

摘要

在一些国家,人寿保险并不是法律义务的一部分,对于一些人来说,人寿保险是一种可能不受公众欢迎的投资方式,因为这是一种投资者无法事先知道确切回报的投资方式,在某些情况下,回报完全取决于政策规范的不确定性。与其他类型的投资一样,寿险产品的投资者一直在寻求一种投资评估工具。然而,目前还没有一种准确的工具可以提供对不确定性敏感的寿险产品的投资价值。内部收益率是买家或银行家用来计算这类投资回报率的基本工具。投资决策工具是投资者在进行投资决策时使用的最重要的关键之一。因此,在本研究中,我们提出了一个新的数学模型,并将其应用于投资决策,作为考虑生命概率的内部收益率的延伸,考虑不同类型的人寿保险单,以及人寿保险投资中规定的其他因素,如保费,死亡赔偿金,到期价值,保险金额,失效率,退保价值,年金确定性,以及不同性别和年龄的死亡率。这个新提出的模型被命名为“生命内部收益率”或Life- irr模型。通过对预期收益为10万泰铢的30岁男性和女性投保养老计划、终身计划和退休计划三种不同类型寿险保单的样本数据进行分析,结果表明:对于男性而言,退休计划获得的生命内部收益率最高(3.633692%),养老计划获得的生命内部收益率最低(2.384443%);而终身计划的终身回报率适中,为2.427941%。对于女性来说,退休计划的生命收益率最高(3.335189%),整个生命计划的生命内部收益率最低(2.104658%),而养老计划的生命收益率适中,为2.308062%。寿险内部收益率的敏感性分析体现了寿险的自然特征。关键词:寿险内部收益率,内部收益率,净现值,寿险。收稿日期:2021年2月28日。修订日期:2021年3月26日。录用日期:2021年3月30日。发布日期:2021年4月2日。
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A Study of Life Internal Rate of Return
Life insurance, not included as a part of the legal obligation in some countries, is one of the investment approaches that might not stand high in the public favor for some people since this is a type of investments that the investor cannot know beforehand the exact return, and the returns completely depend on uncertainty of the policy specification in some circumstances. Similar to the other kinds of investment, investors in life insurance products have been seeking a tool for investment evaluation. However, currently there are no accurate tools that can provide the value of the investment in a life insurance product sensitive to the uncertainty. Internal rate of return is the basic tool that buyers or bankers may apply in order to find the rate of return of this type of investment. The investment decision tool is one of the most important keys that investors have utilized upon making their decisions on investments. Therefore, in this research, we propose a new mathematical model with applications for investment decision, being an extension of the internal rate of return by taking into account the life probability, considering different types of life insurance policies, and other factors specified on life insurance investments such as the premium, the death benefit, the maturity value, the sum insured, the lapse rate, the surrender value, the annuity certain, and the lapse rate with different genders and ages. This newly proposed model is named as the "Life Internal Rate of Return" or Life-IRR model. By using the sample data for both males and females aged 30 years old with expected benefit of 100,000 baht for different types of life insurance policies which are endowment plan, whole life plan and retirement plan, the results show that, for males, the highest life rate of returns is that obtained from the retirement plan (3.633692%), and the lowest life internal rates of returns is that obtained from the endowment plan (2.384443%), while the whole life plan offers moderate life rate of returns of 2.427941%. For females, the highest life rate of returns is that obtained from the retirement plan (3.335189%), and the lowest life internal rates of returns is that obtained from the whole life plan (2.104658%), while the endowment plan offers moderate life rate of returns of 2.308062%. The sensitivity analyses of the life internal rates of return perform the natural characteristics of life insurance. Key-Words: Life internal rate of return, Internal rate of return, Net present value, Life insurance. Received: February 28, 2021. Revised: March 26, 2021. Accepted: March 30, 2021. Published: April 2, 2021.
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