基于注意机制的LSTM多因素定量选股策略研究

Zezhong Li
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摘要

本文选取2012年1月至2022年7月沪深两市a股上市公司估值、动量、换手率和技术的月频多因素数据,经过数据预处理后分别输入到LSTM和融合关注机制的LSTM模型中进行训练。基于模型输出,分别构建了行业中性的分层投资组合和行业中性的选股投资组合。在模型评价部分,证实了Attention-LSTM模型在预测股票涨跌方面优于LSTM模型。月度仓位调整下的单因素分层回验和选股策略回验证实,注意-LSTM模型在年化收益率、利率和最大回调方面均显著优于LSTM模型,且显著优于沪深300和沪深500。
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Research on LSTM multi-factor quantitative stock selection strategy based on attention mechanism
In this paper, monthly frequency multi-factor data on valuation, momentum, turnover rate and technology of A-share listed companies in Shanghai and Shenzhen markets from January 2012 to July 2022 are selected and input to LSTM and LSTM model with fused attention mechanism respectively for training after data pre-processing. The sector-neutral layered-portfolios and the sector-neutral stock selection portfolios were constructed based on the model output, respectively. In the model evaluation section, it is confirmed that the Attention-LSTM model outperforms the LSTM model in predicting stock ups and downs. The single-factor layered back test under monthly position adjustment and stock selection strategy back test confirmed that the Attention-LSTM model significantly outperformed the LSTM model in terms of annualized return, sharpe ratio, and maximum retracement, and also significantly outperformed the CSI 300 and CSI 500.
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