随机速率的兰彻斯特式战斗模型

Karmeshu, N. Jaiswal
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引用次数: 6

摘要

研究了环境随机性对兰彻斯特型作战模型的影响。该方法是基于对具有二分马尔科夫过程特征的随机参数微分方程的研究。得到了系统一阶矩和二阶矩时间演化的拉普拉斯变换的精确表达式。分析了与系统自然时间尺度相比,参数波动速度较快的特殊情况。利用Routh-Hurwitz准则讨论了系统均方意义下的随机稳定性,发现随机扰动会使系统失稳。
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A Lanchester-type model of combat with stochastic rates
The effects of environmental stochasticity in a Lanchester-type model of combat are investigated. The methodology is based on a study of stochastic differential equations with random parameters characterized by dichotomous Markov processes. Exact expressions for the Laplace transforms of the time evolution of the first- and second-order moments of the system are obtained. A special case when the fluctuations in the parameters occur with great rapidity in comparison with the natural time scale of the system is also analyzed. The stochastic stability in the mean-square sense is discussed by using the Routh–Hurwitz criterion and it is found that the stochastic perturbations tend to destabilize the system.
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