新经济,新衰退?

E. Koenig, Thomas F. Siems, Mark A. Wynne
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引用次数: 6

摘要

美国国家经济研究局(NBER)在2001年11月证实了许多人长期以来的怀疑——美国经济自2001年3月以来一直处于衰退之中。由此结束了始于1991年3月的经济扩张,这是NBER自19世纪中期以来最长的一次经济扩张。在这一扩张期间,许多经济学家和政策分析人士谈到了“新经济”,其特点是新的网络信息共享技术带来了更高水平的持续生产率增长。新经济的新衰退是什么样子的?本文将2001年的经济衰退与以往的经济衰退进行比较,并调查经济中是否明显增加了一定程度的弹性和灵活性。经济下滑似乎相对温和,而且由于信息技术的有效使用而有所缓和。矛盾的是,信息技术行业本身受到了格外沉重的打击。
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New Economy, New Recession?
The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) confirmed in November 2001 what many had long suspected - that the U.S. economy was in recession and had been since March 2001. Thus ended an economic expansion that had begun in March 1991, the longest in the NBER chronology that dates to the mid-1800s. During this expansion, many economists and policy analysts talked about a "New Economy" characterized by a higher sustained level of productivity growth brought on by new networking information-sharing technologies. What does the New Economy's new recession look like? This article examines the 2001 recession by comparing it with previous recessions and investigating whether an added degree of resilience and flexibility is evident in the economy. The downturn appears to have been relatively mild and to have been tempered by the productive use of information technologies. Paradoxically, the information technology sector itself was hit exceptionally hard.
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