生产网络中的公共投资乘数

Alessandro Peri, Omar Rachedi, Iacopo Varotto
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引用次数: 9

摘要

公共投资的总体和部门效应在很大程度上取决于公共资本的产出弹性和投入产出联系之间的相互作用。我们通过新凯恩斯主义生产网络的视角来识别这种依赖性。这种情况使公共资本的社会最优数量相对于平均单一部门经济翻了一番,从而导致公共投资乘数的大幅放大。我们还记录了公共投资对行业的新影响。尽管公共投资集中在比公共消费少得多的部门,但其影响在各个行业之间的分布相对更为均匀。我们在数据中验证了这一模型的含义。
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The public investment multiplier in a production network
Aggregate and sectoral effects of public investment crucially depend on the interaction between the output elasticity to public capital and input-output linkages. We identify this dependence through the lens of a New Keynesian production network. This setting doubles the socially optimal amount of public capital relative to the average one-sector economy, leading to a substantial amplification of the public investment multiplier. We also document novel sectoral implications of public investment. Although public investment is concentrated in far fewer sectors than public consumption, its effects are relatively more evenly distributed across industries. We validate this model implication in the data.
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