社会经济决定论与气候变化

Jan-Erik Lane
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摘要

全球变暖问题实际上不是由联合国气候变化框架公约或政府间气候变化专门委员会召开的乳齿象会议决定的。决定性的参与者是以下二氧化碳排放大国:中国、印度、印度尼西亚、巴西、俄罗斯、墨西哥、韩国、加拿大、澳大利亚和美国,尽管其现任政府已经脱离了2017年在巴黎建立的共同储备制度,这些国家与国际航运和航空一起排放了50%以上的二氧化碳。然而,他们不感兴趣,因为他们强调社会经济发展的决策,要么是富裕国家的经济增长,要么是贫穷或新兴经济体的“追赶”战略。适应力将决定哪些国家能够承受气候变化带来的后果。
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Socio-Economic Determinism and Climate Change
The global warming problematic is in reality decided not by the UNFCCC or IPCC with its mastodon meetings. The decisive players are the states of the following BIG polluters of CO2: China, India, Indonesia, Brazil, Russia Mexico, South Korea, Canada, Australia and the US, despite the fact that its present government already has defected from the common pool regime, set up in Paris 2017, These countries together with international shipping and aviation are putting out more than 50% of the CO2s. However, they are little interested, because they emphasize the policy-making of socio-economic development, either economic growth with rich countries or the “catch-up” strategy with poor or emerging economies. Resilience will decide which countries can support the consequences of climate change.
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