验证预测方程:西弗吉尼亚州饲养小牛的供应

J. P. Kuehn
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文的目的是首先开发一个可行的预测模型西弗吉尼亚州饲养小牛供应使用小牛市场作为因变量。第二个目标是使用“留一年”程序验证预测模型,并使用折刀技术推导出另一种预测方程。强调第二个目标的目的是为大量经常使用计量经济学方法但不认为自己是经济学专家的应用经济学家提供一种有用和必要的技术的简单而直接的演示。
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VALIDATING PREDICTING EQUATIONS: THE SUPPLY OF FEEDER CALVES IN WEST VIRGINIA
The objectives of this article were first to develop a viable predicting model of the West Virginia feeder calf supply using calves marketed as the dependent variable. The second objective was to validate the predicting model using the "leave·out-one-year'" procedure and to derive an alternative predicting equation using the jackknife technique. The purpose of the emphasis on the second objective was to provide a simple and direct demonstration, of a useful and necessary technique, for the large group of applied economists, who often use econometric methods, but who do not consider themselves to be econon etric specialists.
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