地震和海啸死亡的时间序列特征研究

Haoyun Wu, Xinyan Wu, Yao Lu, Hongwei Li
{"title":"地震和海啸死亡的时间序列特征研究","authors":"Haoyun Wu, Xinyan Wu, Yao Lu, Hongwei Li","doi":"10.2991/dramclr-19.2019.8","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"1 山西省地震局,太原 030021,中国 7153701@qq.com 2 中国地震局地球物理研究所,北京 100081,中国 wuxy1977@sina.com Abstract—In this paper, 18 earthquake cases from 1996 to 2017 and four earthquakes cases that caused tsunami and killed more than 2,000 people since 2000 were selected in China. Statistics on the death statistics of earthquakes in Sina.com were collected. The logistic function was used to fit the data of earthquake cases. The results showed that: (1) The number of earthquake deaths was reported. There is a good correlation between the curves presented at the time and the more deaths there are, the longer it takes to determine the final number of deaths. (2) The shorter the time when the number of earthquake deaths approaches the total number, the stronger the rescue ability.(3) The data show that in the face of catastrophic earthquakes with more than 10,000 deaths, especially the huge earthquakes that caused the tsunami, relying solely on the local rescue capacity is obviously insufficient.","PeriodicalId":142201,"journal":{"name":"Proceedings of the Fourth Symposium on Disaster Risk Analysis and Management in Chinese Littoral Regions (DRAMCLR 2019)","volume":"86 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2019-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Study on the Time Series Features of Earthquake and Tsunami Deaths\",\"authors\":\"Haoyun Wu, Xinyan Wu, Yao Lu, Hongwei Li\",\"doi\":\"10.2991/dramclr-19.2019.8\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"1 山西省地震局,太原 030021,中国 7153701@qq.com 2 中国地震局地球物理研究所,北京 100081,中国 wuxy1977@sina.com Abstract—In this paper, 18 earthquake cases from 1996 to 2017 and four earthquakes cases that caused tsunami and killed more than 2,000 people since 2000 were selected in China. Statistics on the death statistics of earthquakes in Sina.com were collected. The logistic function was used to fit the data of earthquake cases. The results showed that: (1) The number of earthquake deaths was reported. There is a good correlation between the curves presented at the time and the more deaths there are, the longer it takes to determine the final number of deaths. (2) The shorter the time when the number of earthquake deaths approaches the total number, the stronger the rescue ability.(3) The data show that in the face of catastrophic earthquakes with more than 10,000 deaths, especially the huge earthquakes that caused the tsunami, relying solely on the local rescue capacity is obviously insufficient.\",\"PeriodicalId\":142201,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Proceedings of the Fourth Symposium on Disaster Risk Analysis and Management in Chinese Littoral Regions (DRAMCLR 2019)\",\"volume\":\"86 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2019-11-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Proceedings of the Fourth Symposium on Disaster Risk Analysis and Management in Chinese Littoral Regions (DRAMCLR 2019)\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.2991/dramclr-19.2019.8\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Proceedings of the Fourth Symposium on Disaster Risk Analysis and Management in Chinese Littoral Regions (DRAMCLR 2019)","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.2991/dramclr-19.2019.8","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0

摘要

摘要:本文选取了1996年至2017年发生在中国的18起地震案例,以及2000年以来发生在中国的4起引发海啸、造成2000多人死亡的地震案例。收集了新浪网地震死亡统计数据。采用logistic函数对地震数据进行拟合。结果表明:(1)地震死亡人数报告。当时呈现的曲线之间有很好的相关性,死亡人数越多,确定最终死亡人数所需的时间就越长。(2)地震死亡人数接近总人数的时间越短,救援能力越强。(3)数据显示,面对死亡人数超过1万人的特大地震,特别是引发海啸的特大地震,单纯依靠当地救援能力明显不足。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
查看原文
分享 分享
微信好友 朋友圈 QQ好友 复制链接
本刊更多论文
Study on the Time Series Features of Earthquake and Tsunami Deaths
1 山西省地震局,太原 030021,中国 7153701@qq.com 2 中国地震局地球物理研究所,北京 100081,中国 wuxy1977@sina.com Abstract—In this paper, 18 earthquake cases from 1996 to 2017 and four earthquakes cases that caused tsunami and killed more than 2,000 people since 2000 were selected in China. Statistics on the death statistics of earthquakes in Sina.com were collected. The logistic function was used to fit the data of earthquake cases. The results showed that: (1) The number of earthquake deaths was reported. There is a good correlation between the curves presented at the time and the more deaths there are, the longer it takes to determine the final number of deaths. (2) The shorter the time when the number of earthquake deaths approaches the total number, the stronger the rescue ability.(3) The data show that in the face of catastrophic earthquakes with more than 10,000 deaths, especially the huge earthquakes that caused the tsunami, relying solely on the local rescue capacity is obviously insufficient.
求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
期刊最新文献
The Characteristics of Climate Change in Latest 60 Years and Extreme Severe Weather in latest 10 Years in Qinhuangdao Improvement measures of questionnaire design for risk communication in Internet of intelligences Using Game Theory Approach for Assessment of Risk and Police Patrols Scheduling Research on Risk Sharing of Creative Industrial Park by Recycling Old Industrial Buildings Research on Financial Early Warning of Big Data Enterprises Based on Logistic Regression and BP Neural Network
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
已复制链接
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
×
扫码分享
扫码分享
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1