希望的家庭计划能在COVID-19大流行期间减少童工吗?

Mohammad Maulana Ibrahim, I. D. G. K. Wisana
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摘要

COVID-19大流行可能对低收入家庭造成经济冲击。几项研究表明,雇佣童工是家庭应对经济冲击的一种策略。这种冲击将加剧童工现象。社会保护是减轻COVID-19大流行影响的一种形式,被认为能够减少童工人数。“希望之路”项目是印度尼西亚的一个社会保障项目。本研究调查了“希望之路计划”(PKH)对2019冠状病毒病大流行期间童工现象的影响。为了克服自我选择的问题,本研究将感兴趣的变量作为内生变量。通过使用递归双变量probit方法,本研究得出结论,PKH对降低COVID-19大流行期间儿童成为童工的可能性没有影响。为了丰富研究内容,我们还调查了PKH对新冠肺炎大流行前童工现象的影响,发现PKH对降低新冠肺炎大流行前儿童成为童工的可能性有影响。影响童工现象的若干因素,如儿童的特征、户主的特征、家庭特征和环境特征,已被证明在两个时期(大流行之前或COVID-19大流行期间)以及仅在一个时期影响儿童成为童工的倾向。
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Apakah Program Keluarga Harapan Mampu Mengurangi Pekerja Anak di Masa Pandemi COVID-19?
The COVID-19 pandemic can be an economic shock for low-income households. Several studies have shown that child labor is a strategy used by households to cope with economic shocks. This shock will exacerbate the phenomenon of child labor. Social protection is a form of mitigating the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic which is considered able to reduce the number of child labor. Program Keluarga Harapan (PKH) is one of the social protection programs in Indonesia. This study investigates the impact of Program Keluarga Harapan (PKH) on the phenomenon of child labor during the COVID-19 pandemic. To overcome the problem of self-selection, this study applies the variable of interest as an endogenous variable. By using the recursive bivariate probit method, this study concludes that PKH has no impact on reducing the likelihood of a child becoming child labor during the COVID-19 pandemic. To enrich the research, we also investigated the influence of PKH on the phenomenon of child labor in the period before the COVID-19 pandemic and found that PKH had an impact on reducing the likelihood of a child becoming child labor in the period before the COVID-19 pandemic. Several factors that influence the phenomenon of child labor, such as the characteristics of children, the characteristics of the head of the household, household characteristics, and environmental characteristics, have been shown to influence a child's tendency to become child labor, both in both periods (before the pandemic or during the COVID-19 pandemic) and in only one period.
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