检验伊斯兰普惠金融、基础设施质量对尼日利亚经济增长的影响:来自Bootstrap和非线性ARDL的新见解

Saifullahi Sani Ibrahim, Hussaina Sanusi
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引用次数: 1

摘要

如果不改善普惠金融,使弱势家庭成为关键的经济参与者,就很难实现包容性增长。在认识到传统普惠金融的弱点的基础上,目前的努力转向了伊斯兰普惠金融,特别是伊斯兰普惠金融的影响,其弥合基础设施差距和增长动力的途径已经得到了部分探索。本研究考察了伊斯兰普惠金融、基础设施质量对尼日利亚经济增长的影响。该研究使用了从2017年到2020年的月度数据,通过新开发的Bootstrap自回归分布滞后进行了分析。研究结果揭示了一些发现。首先,自举自回归分布滞后的结果表明,经济增长、伊斯兰普惠金融、伊斯兰债券和基础设施质量之间存在很强的协同运动。这一发现表明,尼日利亚的伊斯兰金融包容性、基础设施质量和经济增长之间存在着强烈的正相关关系。其次,非线性模型结果表明,伊斯兰普惠金融和伊斯兰债券对经济增长的影响是不对称的。这种不对称模式强化了伊斯兰普惠金融可以在缓解经济低迷方面发挥专门作用的说法。第三,非线性因果关系结果表明,伊斯兰普惠金融、经济增长与伊斯兰债券之间存在较强的双向因果关系。从这个意义上说,包容性伊斯兰金融可以在帮助各国克服经济衰退方面发挥专门作用。
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Testing The Effect of Islamic Financial Inclusion, Infrastructural Quality on Economic Growth in Nigeria: New Insight From Bootstrap and Non-Linear ARDL
Inclusive growth can hardly be achieved without improvement in the inclusive finance that would enable the vulnerable households to become key economic players. While efforts are now shifted towards the Islamic financial inclusion based on the realization of weakness of traditional financial inclusivity, the impact of Islamic financial inclusion particularly, its pathways of bridging infrastructural gaps and growth drive have been partially explored. This study examines the effect of Islamic financial inclusion, infrastructural quality on economic growth in Nigeria. The study uses monthly data covering from 2017 until 2020 which was analyzed via a newly developed Bootstrap Autoregressive Distributive Lag. The results reveal a number of findings. First, the result of bootstrap autoregressive distributed lag demonstrates that there is strong co-movement between economic growth, Islamic financial inclusion, Sukuk and infrastructural quality. This finding points to the existence of a strong positive relationship between Islamic financial inclusion, infrastructural quality and economic growth in Nigeria. Second, results from nonlinear models have revealed that Islamic financial inclusion and Sukuk have asymmetric effects on economic growth. This asymmetric pattern reinforces the claim that Islamic financial inclusion can play a dedicated role in ameliorating economic downturn. Third, the results of nonlinear causality reveal strong bidirectional causality Islamic financial inclusion, economic growth and Sukuk. In this sense, inclusive Islamic finance could play a dedicated role to help countries in overcoming economic recession.
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